@shigugai

#2,415,21521

0x9dad5d72354700976e9e9e36b855ba2423c824b3

~56d· 109 markets · 144 tradesVol: $101,3302026-08-05 18:26:44
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

21
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

41% (45/109)5.6/20
0.86x (win $371 / loss $434)0.7/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.1630/15
Sortino -1.2860/10
$-0.0106 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 290 (109 markets)10/10
28/56 profitable days (50%)5/10
Max DD 190% of peak ($133 / $70)0/10

Badges

4
Lottery Player
50% entries < $0.20
Diamond Hands
3% sells
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

3
₿ CRYPTO#1,371,439$-44Vol: $10,821
⚽ SPORTS#1,394,815$-13Vol: $236
🏛️ POLITICS#1,095,701$-4Vol: $60

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-61
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$101,330
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
109
total markets
Trades
139B / 5S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~56d

Periods

#2
Today
$-2
Vol: $80
Week
$-2
Vol: $80
Month
$-2
Vol: $80
All Time
$-61
Vol: $101,330

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
41%
45W / 64L events
Realized PnL
$-61
Win Rate
41%
45W / 64L
Profit Factor
0.86x
Avg Win
$8
Avg Loss
$-7

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $262 (4.312150148172538% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 29?$125
Will the price of Solana be between $130 and $140 on January 11?$90
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $96,000 and $98,000 on January 14?$47
Bitcoin Up or Down on January 9?$6
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,300 and $3,400 on December 5?$5
Will the price of XRP be above $2.00 on January 28?$5
Will the price of XRP be between $1.70 and $1.80 on January 21?$4
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on December 6?$4
Will the price of Solana be above $140 on January 14?$4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 20?$4

Top Losers

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on January 31?$-123
Will the price of Solana be between $110 and $120 on January 29?$-95
Will the price of Solana be above $140 on January 11?$-52
USC Upstate Spartans vs. High Point Panthers$-8
Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on July 10?$-6
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on January 25?$-6
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on January 13?$-6
Bitcoin Up or Down on January 14?$-5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 16?$-5
Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?$-4

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.060
Sortino
-0.049
HHI
304
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.011
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
4.6%
Top-5 markets
22.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.8h
between trades
Avg Gap
6.0h
between trades
Night Trading
25%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.76
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.4

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 13726s — normal for humanCV 1.76 — diverse sizes (human-like)25% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock1 trades/day — normal0.5 markets/day — normal49% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 21:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.32
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)50.4%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)49.6%

Sessions

#12
11/25/2025, 7:43:45 AM1 trades$2750 min
12/8/2025, 11:44:39 AM1 trades$2730 min
12/4/2025, 4:32:47 PM1 trades$2710 min
12/3/2025, 12:16:55 PM1 trades$2700 min
12/7/2025, 1:40:01 PM1 trades$2680 min
11/21/2025, 1:53:55 PM1 trades$2670 min
12/6/2025, 5:51:01 AM2 trades$2660 min
11/22/2025, 1:01:41 PM2 trades$2660 min
11/23/2025, 7:22:07 AM1 trades$2640 min
12/8/2025, 2:24:09 AM1 trades$2630 min
12/10/2025, 6:16:31 AM1 trades$2480 min
12/5/2025, 6:54:15 AM1 trades$2460 min
7/9/2026, 9:32:37 PM4 trades$1300 min
1/30/2026, 1:47:22 AM2 trades$1240 min
1/31/2026, 3:20:42 AM2 trades$1230 min
1/17/2026, 11:13:56 AM2 trades$1143 min
1/20/2026, 10:08:24 PM2 trades$1061 min
1/18/2026, 2:35:06 PM1 trades$1050 min
1/18/2026, 11:32:58 PM1 trades$1030 min
1/23/2026, 11:04:58 AM3 trades$1010 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-21
12-08
01-08
01-17
01-26
03-15
05-18

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 177 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
3.5% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.32/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L50.4 / M0 / H49.6