@shred7777

#14,93792

0x43cc0c44ac7872fae39cf72b0334ae6eee549211

~76d· 245 markets · 983 tradesVol: $179,5052026-08-04 18:12:35
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

92
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

88% (182/206)20/20
2.25x (win $14,704 / loss $6,538)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 4.43115/15
Sortino 9.47610/10
$+0.0590 per $1 invested2.9/10
HHI 148 (206 markets)10/10
50/59 profitable days (85%)10/10
Max DD 26% of peak ($2,413 / $9,295)8.8/10

Badges

6
Sniper
Win rate 88%
Profitable
PnL $+9,883
Whale
$138,420 invested
Consistent
50/59 profitable days
Cool Head
Max DD 26%
Win Streak
34 wins in a row

Categories

8
🏛️ POLITICS#4,001$9,364Vol: $157,710
💻 TECH#250,011$-110Vol: $14,078
🎭 CULTURE#6,507$679Vol: $6,537
💰 FINANCE#50,479$12Vol: $699
📈 ECONOMICS#34,952$14Vol: $200
₿ CRYPTO#235,942$10Vol: $100
⚽ SPORTS#1,496,326$-25Vol: $100
📢 MENTIONS#158,856$-60Vol: $82

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$9,883
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$179,505
Total Redeem
$4,871
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
245
total markets
Trades
590B / 393S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~76d

Periods

#2
Today
$21
Vol: $0
Week
$21
Vol: $0
Month
$6
Vol: $0
All Time
$9,883
Vol: $179,505

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
88%
182W / 24L events
Realized PnL
$9,883
Win Rate
88%
182W / 24L
Profit Factor
2.25x
Avg Win
$81
Avg Loss
$-385

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,721 (0.27530083362253965% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?$1,044
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31?$939
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by October 31?$739
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31?$585
Will Russia enter Lyman by November 30?$510
Will Russia capture Rodynske by August 20?$505
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by August 31?$433
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31?$414
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by December 31?$360
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by September 30?$354

Top Losers

Will Russia capture Pokrovsk train station by October 31?$-2,472
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$-1,152
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$-920
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$-600
Will Russia capture Huliaipole by December 31?$-238
Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 15?$-208
Will Russia capture Dorozhnje by August 31?$-199
Will Russia capture Siversk by December 31?$-157
Will Russia capture Rodynske by December 31?$-151
GPT-5 scores above 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$-127

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.230
Sortino
0.254
HHI
130
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.064
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
4.1%
Top-5 markets
16.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.7
Active Hours
17/24
Extended
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
58.7m
between trades
Night Trading
2%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.27
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
9 min
Avg Trades / Session
12.8

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 94s — normal for humanCV 1.27 — diverse sizes (human-like)2% night trades — normal pattern17/24 hours — normal schedule3 trades/day — normal0.7 markets/day — normal19% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.62
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)1.4%
Mid (20-55c)5.8%
High (>55c)92.9%

Sessions

#12
5/24/2026, 8:20:24 PM92 trades$6,07819 min
3/20/2026, 1:28:21 PM15 trades$5,43911 min
6/17/2026, 8:09:38 PM33 trades$5,3675 min
8/19/2025, 4:39:48 PM10 trades$5,03022 min
11/27/2025, 5:19:15 PM15 trades$4,97512 min
10/16/2025, 8:28:47 PM11 trades$3,98517 min
5/14/2026, 8:53:36 PM27 trades$3,56411 min
8/21/2025, 1:33:18 PM5 trades$3,2617 min
8/16/2025, 9:27:58 AM5 trades$3,1025 min
12/2/2025, 9:35:29 PM11 trades$3,07718 min
2/13/2026, 10:59:17 AM14 trades$3,02610 min
10/17/2025, 11:53:31 AM7 trades$2,9879 min
4/3/2026, 6:04:37 PM29 trades$2,76512 min
8/14/2025, 9:02:26 PM4 trades$2,7377 min
12/7/2025, 12:44:39 PM15 trades$2,73114 min
9/6/2025, 12:53:40 AM5 trades$2,6645 min
7/5/2026, 9:14:01 PM32 trades$2,6487 min
3/21/2026, 6:04:19 PM7 trades$2,45813 min
5/3/2026, 8:57:42 PM23 trades$2,38910 min
6/21/2026, 6:23:19 PM32 trades$2,37613 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
07-31
08-14
09-06
10-16
12-10
05-10
06-17

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 43 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
40% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.62/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L1.4 / M5.8 / H92.9