@sigmakappa
#3,070,014380xc90fec59a08711b9df9f35a507fb7aac86b2a598
~47d· 34 markets · 293 tradesVol: $187,3362026-08-05 04:27:00
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
38
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
69% (20/29)19.5/20
0.38x (win $11,366 / loss $30,251)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.6460/15
Sortino -2.6630/10
$-0.1912 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 867 (29 markets)8.2/10
15/21 profitable days (71%)10/10
Max DD 6150% of peak ($29,574 / $481)0/10
Badges
6Sniper
Win rate 69%
DCA Master
Avg 8.7 entries/market
Whale
$98,797 invested
Consistent
15/21 profitable days
Win Streak
10 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
22/24 hours active
Categories
3🏛️ POLITICS#1,641,085$-29,892Vol: $175,081
📈 ECONOMICS#4,429$554Vol: $9,755
🎭 CULTURE#43,994$25Vol: $2,500
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-29,314
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$187,336
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
34
total markets
Trades
169B / 124S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~47d
Periods
#2Week
$-11
Vol: $881
Month
$-11
Vol: $881
All Time
$-29,314
Vol: $187,336
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
69%
20W / 9L events
Realized PnL
$-29,314
Win Rate
69%
20W / 9L
Profit Factor
0.38x
Avg Win
$568
Avg Loss
$-4,322
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $8,124 (0.27714963307434304% of PnL)
Top Winners
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$4,021
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$2,122
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$1,981
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$1,810
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30?$309
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by May 31?$272
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?$195
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$125
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?$106
US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?$81
Top Losers
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$-24,802
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$-4,955
Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?$-365
US government shutdown Saturday?$-100
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?$-17
Putin meets with Iranian officials by May 15?$-8
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?$-3
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.135
Sortino
-0.075
HHI
1223
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.183
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
26.1%
Top-5 markets
67%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
1.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
22/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.1h
between trades
Night Trading
8%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.34
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.3
Bot Detection
#615
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 283s — normal for humanCV 3.34 — diverse sizes (human-like)8% night trades — normal pattern22/24 hours — around the clock2 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal41% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 13:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
8.72
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)0.6%
Mid (20-55c)30.8%
High (>55c)68.6%
Sessions
#122/8/2026, 11:06:29 AM1 trades$12,7800 min
2/7/2026, 10:10:45 PM1 trades$12,7040 min
2/7/2026, 6:30:27 AM1 trades$10,1250 min
2/7/2026, 3:51:35 AM1 trades$10,1240 min
2/6/2026, 2:23:25 PM1 trades$10,0430 min
2/5/2026, 12:43:55 PM1 trades$9,9840 min
2/3/2026, 6:39:12 AM2 trades$5,3921 min
2/28/2026, 6:01:05 AM1 trades$5,1370 min
2/28/2026, 4:44:49 AM1 trades$5,1350 min
2/27/2026, 6:11:39 PM8 trades$4,9401 min
4/24/2026, 9:52:32 PM2 trades$4,2240 min
2/1/2026, 7:58:16 AM1 trades$2,7320 min
5/6/2026, 6:19:13 PM2 trades$2,6600 min
2/1/2026, 5:48:04 AM1 trades$2,6270 min
2/1/2026, 8:51:14 PM11 trades$2,5207 min
4/16/2026, 5:54:58 PM2 trades$2,1550 min
4/25/2026, 3:20:54 PM23 trades$1,6624 min
4/2/2026, 10:53:35 PM2 trades$1,6580 min
4/12/2026, 7:11:19 PM1 trades$1,6250 min
5/1/2026, 7:11:10 AM2 trades$1,5530 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-25
01-28
02-07
04-01
04-26
05-02
05-24
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 53 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
42.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 8.72/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0.6 / M30.8 / H68.6