
@silverstud
#2,334,085250x3a43a18ee531358ed5db671cf1223634313b67dc
~30d· 486 markets · 3179 tradesVol: $28,8862026-08-04 17:20:03
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
25
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
49% (136/277)9.5/20
0.98x (win $354 / loss $363)2.2/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.2850/15
Sortino -0.3460/10
$-0.0010 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 406 (277 markets)10/10
12/27 profitable days (44%)3.6/10
Max DD 109% of peak ($106 / $97)0/10
Badges
5Contrarian
58% entries < $0.55
Diamond Hands
1% sells
DCA Master
Avg 11.7 entries/market
Win Streak
9 wins in a row
🏗️Market Maker
99% maker orders
Categories
9🏛️ POLITICS#1,500,541$-79Vol: $23,112
💻 TECH#9,967$36Vol: $2,258
💰 FINANCE#68,931$6Vol: $1,394
📈 ECONOMICS#613,176$-14Vol: $1,224
🌤️ WEATHER#230,263$-5Vol: $209
🎭 CULTURE#571,677$-2Vol: $156
⚽ SPORTS#265,374$12Vol: $67
₿ CRYPTO#938,373$-2Vol: $10
📢 MENTIONS#70,311$-0Vol: $5
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-47
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$28,886
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
486
total markets
Trades
3162B / 17S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~30d
Periods
#2Today
$17
Vol: $0
Week
$39
Vol: $0
Month
$55
Vol: $0
All Time
$-47
Vol: $28,886
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
49%
136W / 141L events
Realized PnL
$-47
Win Rate
49%
136W / 141L
Profit Factor
0.98x
Avg Win
$3
Avg Loss
$-3
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $74 (1.5531375448975282% of PnL)
Top Winners
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?$31
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 12?$23
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?$20
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?$15
NBA: LeBron to Sign With Former Team?$12
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$12
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?$10
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 18?$10
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?$9
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?$9
Top Losers
Will John Cornyn vote to confirm Jay Clayton as Director of National Intelligence?$-25
Will John Fetterman vote to confirm Jay Clayton as Director of National Intelligence?$-22
Will Bill Cassidy vote to confirm Jay Clayton as Director of National Intelligence?$-20
Will John Curtis vote to confirm Jay Clayton as Director of National Intelligence?$-20
Will USD reach 1.9M Iranian rials by July 31?$-19
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by August 31?$-13
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 17?$-10
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$-9
Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?$-9
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by June 30, 2026?$-8
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.015
Sortino
-0.014
HHI
351
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.001
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
13.2%
Top-5 markets
32.9%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
58.9
Very active
Markets / Day
9.0
Active Hours
19/24
Extended
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
37s
between trades
Avg Gap
11.4m
between trades
Night Trading
6%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.85
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
23 min
Avg Trades / Session
44.8
Bot Detection
#645
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
MEDIUM
Median gap 37s — normal for humanCV 0.85 — diverse sizes (human-like)6% night trades — normal pattern19/24 hours — extended activity59 trades/day — mass trading9.0 markets/day — normal99% maker — systematic market making
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 15:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
11.74
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)21.5%
Mid (20-55c)36.7%
High (>55c)41.7%
Sessions
#126/17/2026, 2:59:34 PM405 trades$86056 min
6/18/2026, 9:10:25 PM234 trades$59780 min
7/13/2026, 4:09:40 PM100 trades$59535 min
7/14/2026, 12:30:10 PM67 trades$34023 min
6/20/2026, 2:27:50 PM108 trades$28543 min
7/8/2026, 7:15:23 PM68 trades$28042 min
7/14/2026, 10:26:10 AM39 trades$21828 min
6/12/2026, 4:11:55 PM96 trades$21353 min
6/19/2026, 12:57:13 AM69 trades$18021 min
7/9/2026, 10:41:25 AM28 trades$16231 min
7/13/2026, 11:12:29 AM21 trades$14616 min
6/29/2026, 7:13:52 PM53 trades$14433 min
7/13/2026, 7:49:20 PM21 trades$14218 min
6/20/2026, 3:52:22 PM45 trades$12634 min
6/17/2026, 9:54:59 AM66 trades$12631 min
6/18/2026, 8:03:02 PM57 trades$12236 min
6/27/2026, 4:06:08 PM41 trades$11933 min
7/14/2026, 1:00:23 PM21 trades$11318 min
7/13/2026, 5:14:55 PM27 trades$10815 min
7/8/2026, 9:55:04 AM42 trades$9144 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-08
06-16
06-20
06-24
06-29
07-10
07-15
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 18 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 11.74/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L21.5 / M36.7 / H41.7