@simmmy

#2,270,52626

0x2b9a504b7dc2715e734038bf0c4a434417dcf6e9

~89d· 313 markets · 1437 tradesVol: $27,3472026-08-05 16:43:55
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

26
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

52% (156/301)10.9/20
0.83x (win $2,822 / loss $3,392)0.4/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.8950/15
Sortino -1.3010/10
$-0.0580 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 333 (301 markets)10/10
36/72 profitable days (50%)5/10
Max DD 142% of peak ($1,933 / $1,363)0/10

Badges

3
DCA Master
Avg 6.0 entries/market
Win Streak
9 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

8
🏛️ POLITICS#29,956$419Vol: $9,329
💻 TECH#254,756$-291Vol: $4,828
🎭 CULTURE#13,885$201Vol: $4,680
⚽ SPORTS#1,734,618$-187Vol: $4,345
💰 FINANCE#637,951$-139Vol: $2,598
🌤️ WEATHER#283,036$-84Vol: $806
📈 ECONOMICS#606,337$-12Vol: $371
₿ CRYPTO#1,076,558$-6Vol: $60

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-38
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$27,347
Total Redeem
$656
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
313
total markets
Trades
674B / 763S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~89d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$1
Vol: $0
Month
$-3
Vol: $0
All Time
$-38
Vol: $27,347

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
52%
156W / 145L events
Realized PnL
$-38
Win Rate
52%
156W / 145L
Profit Factor
0.83x
Avg Win
$18
Avg Loss
$-25

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,593 (42.435535428875866% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$883
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 450k and 500k?$356
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$354
Will Drake officially release Iceman by April 30, 2026?$168
Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?$153
Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1480?$124
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?$80
Will voter turnout be 77–80% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?$74
Will voter turnout be 80%+ in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?$70
Gemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?$64

Top Losers

Knicks vs. Spurs$-768
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?$-410
Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 19?$-267
Knicks vs. Spurs$-200
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?$-174
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 550k and 600k?$-131
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?$-131
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?$-124
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?$-104
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?$-84

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.046
Sortino
-0.052
HHI
356
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.048
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
11.3%
Top-5 markets
32%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
10.7
Active
Markets / Day
2.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
18:00 UTC
Median Gap
11.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.6h
between trades
Night Trading
25%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.40
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
9.6

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 716s — normal for humanCV 2.40 — diverse sizes (human-like)25% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock11 trades/day — very active2.3 markets/day — normal31% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 18:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.97
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)12.2%
Mid (20-55c)27.3%
High (>55c)60.5%

Sessions

#12
5/7/2026, 6:23:00 PM67 trades$2,0320 min
4/8/2026, 5:08:07 AM2 trades$1,0550 min
5/8/2026, 7:13:40 PM3 trades$6790 min
5/8/2026, 2:57:00 PM6 trades$6691 min
5/9/2026, 6:00:27 PM11 trades$5760 min
4/7/2026, 10:20:47 PM25 trades$5004 min
4/29/2026, 11:07:06 PM2 trades$5000 min
6/27/2026, 8:16:20 PM12 trades$5000 min
5/20/2026, 2:21:15 AM4 trades$3990 min
5/16/2026, 1:51:42 AM11 trades$3430 min
6/24/2026, 2:33:49 PM6 trades$3240 min
4/23/2026, 7:07:10 PM5 trades$3191 min
6/6/2026, 3:19:00 AM6 trades$3074 min
5/15/2026, 12:26:03 AM2 trades$3050 min
4/12/2026, 10:32:31 PM9 trades$3023 min
5/16/2026, 2:44:13 PM15 trades$2840 min
4/21/2026, 4:01:54 AM3 trades$2680 min
6/26/2026, 10:39:50 PM3 trades$2490 min
4/23/2026, 6:50:44 PM8 trades$2223 min
4/16/2026, 5:52:26 AM5 trades$2000 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-03
03-18
03-31
04-15
05-07
06-06

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 59 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
53.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.97/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L12.2 / M27.3 / H60.5