@simpledue

#108,11769

0x3d9e48c13480656da3f29dff3dd0db495b3d5421

~69d· 332 markets · 3395 tradesVol: $1,282,6902026-08-05 17:03:03
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

69
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

82% (266/323)20/20
1.27x (win $91,533 / loss $72,033)5.9/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.72513.6/15
Sortino 1.98910/10
$+0.0371 per $1 invested1.9/10
HHI 131 (323 markets)10/10
28/47 profitable days (60%)7.4/10
Max DD 98% of peak ($36,750 / $37,375)0/10

Badges

10
Sniper
Win rate 82%
Profitable
PnL $+582
Lottery Player
42% entries < $0.20
Diamond Hands
5% sells
DCA Master
Avg 14.2 entries/market
Whale
$525,212 invested
High Roller
$2,366/day
Win Streak
29 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
84% maker orders

Categories

8
SPORTS#8,348$5,667Vol: $662,657
🌤️ WEATHER#299,570$-11,559Vol: $362,862
💰 FINANCE#641,751$-192Vol: $86,403
🎭 CULTURE#6,689$649Vol: $68,133
🏛️ POLITICS#8,202$3,414Vol: $51,756
CRYPTO#14,375$3,155Vol: $45,960
📢 MENTIONS#5,786$107Vol: $3,474
📈 ECONOMICS#652,068$-61Vol: $550

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$582
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,282,690
Total Redeem
$9,642
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
332
total markets
Trades
3225B / 170S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~69d

Periods

#2
Today
$18
Vol: $0
Week
$36
Vol: $0
Month
$51
Vol: $0
All Time
$582
Vol: $1,282,690

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
82%
265W / 58L events
Realized PnL
$582
Win Rate
82%
265W / 58L
Profit Factor
1.27x
Avg Win
$344
Avg Loss
$-1,286

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $77,706 (133.57714059787187% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$69,384
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?$4,788
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET$3,534
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET$3,328
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?$2,070
US forces enter Iran by March 31?$1,252
Will Anthony Joshua win by KO/TKO/DQ?$602
Fogo FDV above $300M one day after launch?$543
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on March 19?$444
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on March 23?$335

Top Losers

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-15,036
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on March 23?$-10,818
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-7,710
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-4,348
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on March 20?$-3,483
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on March 21?$-3,326
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on March 21?$-2,272
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-2,100
Fogo FDV above $1B one day after launch?$-2,050
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on March 21?$-1,940

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.037
Sortino
0.078
HHI
128
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.034
Kelly %
3.5%
Half-Kelly
1.7%
Top-1 market
3.2%
Top-5 markets
15.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
15.3
Active
Markets / Day
1.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
17:00 UTC
Median Gap
40s
between trades
Avg Gap
21.2m
between trades
Night Trading
5%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.35
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
16 min
Avg Trades / Session
23.0

Bot Detection

#6
25
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 40s — normal for humanCV 3.36 — diverse sizes (human-like)5% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock15 trades/day — very active1.5 markets/day — normal84% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 17:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
14.18
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)42.1%
Mid (20-55c)2.8%
High (>55c)55.1%

Sessions

#12
5/22/2026, 5:34:12 PM25 trades$41,4572 min
3/23/2026, 4:51:25 PM141 trades$28,88975 min
3/10/2026, 10:34:49 PM9 trades$19,30015 min
3/22/2026, 11:13:15 AM34 trades$16,87422 min
3/21/2026, 10:28:13 PM18 trades$16,60311 min
3/22/2026, 6:29:29 PM23 trades$15,30819 min
3/18/2026, 2:18:57 PM66 trades$14,81850 min
3/17/2026, 3:47:15 PM12 trades$12,54414 min
3/23/2026, 6:22:29 PM81 trades$10,99351 min
3/21/2026, 2:14:41 PM2 trades$9,8770 min
3/24/2026, 1:01:17 PM128 trades$9,16878 min
3/19/2026, 6:16:19 PM10 trades$8,8326 min
12/17/2025, 9:12:23 PM10 trades$8,55711 min
3/16/2026, 5:37:51 PM14 trades$8,49914 min
3/24/2026, 5:15:41 PM58 trades$8,49656 min
3/20/2026, 1:02:33 PM80 trades$8,25150 min
5/22/2026, 10:37:20 PM10 trades$7,26212 min
3/27/2026, 12:30:35 PM9 trades$7,1955 min
3/23/2026, 1:11:43 PM7 trades$7,0876 min
3/18/2026, 11:09:39 PM18 trades$7,04110 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-17
03-11
03-20
03-27
04-25
05-24
06-11

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 63 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
36% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 14.18/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L42.1 / M2.8 / H55.1