@simulacrum3

#3,054,87946

0x2843d543c60a54106f572ab74f0e2e04f293b3d2

~415d· 1939 markets · 11890 tradesVol: $959,5202026-08-05 17:28:02
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

46
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

51% (950/1875)10.3/20
1.08x (win $67,723 / loss $62,761)3.5/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.4638.7/15
Sortino 0.6866.9/10
$+0.0260 per $1 invested1.3/10
HHI 55 (1875 markets)10/10
193/366 profitable days (53%)5.7/10
Max DD 124% of peak ($8,366 / $6,758)0/10

Badges

5
Contrarian
61% entries < $0.55
DCA Master
Avg 6.8 entries/market
Whale
$190,741 invested
Win Streak
7 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#1,629,712$-2,782Vol: $588,714
💰 FINANCE#657,464$-3,073Vol: $108,612
⚽ SPORTS#1,793,244$-477Vol: $82,741
🎭 CULTURE#810,986$-759Vol: $67,811
💻 TECH#14,953$15Vol: $45,997
₿ CRYPTO#100,169$93Vol: $28,879
📈 ECONOMICS#675,834$-486Vol: $22,755
🌤️ WEATHER#262,754$-22Vol: $5,313
📢 MENTIONS#166,317$-128Vol: $2,933

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-7,587
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$959,520
Total Redeem
$3,981
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1939
total markets
Trades
8035B / 3855S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~415d

Periods

#2
Today
$-76
Vol: $1,831
Week
$-544
Vol: $4,035
Month
$-900
Vol: $4,533
All Time
$-7,587
Vol: $959,520

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
51%
950W / 925L events
Realized PnL
$-7,587
Win Rate
51%
950W / 925L
Profit Factor
1.08x
Avg Win
$71
Avg Loss
$-69

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $9,789 (1.2902220300872778% of PnL)

Top Winners

Israel closes its airspace by June 15?$3,366
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$3,365
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3,058
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?$2,524
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$1,973
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$1,401
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?$1,372
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$1,349
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?$1,323
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?$1,276

Top Losers

Iran closes its airspace by May 31?$-4,366
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-1,800
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?$-1,652
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-1,578
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?$-1,333
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?$-869
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?$-762
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$-736
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$-673
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$-668

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.024
Sortino
0.027
HHI
71
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.023
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
3.8%
Top-5 markets
12.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
25.6
Active
Markets / Day
4.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
10.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
56.4m
between trades
Night Trading
21%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.54
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
8 min
Avg Trades / Session
21.1

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 626s — normal for humanCV 1.54 — diverse sizes (human-like)21% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock26 trades/day — high frequency4.2 markets/day — normal65% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.79
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)21.9%
Mid (20-55c)39.1%
High (>55c)39%

Sessions

#12
4/7/2026, 10:32:55 PM139 trades$5,27866 min
4/1/2026, 6:22:53 AM4 trades$5,0002 min
6/14/2026, 9:20:25 PM69 trades$3,82230 min
5/8/2026, 6:43:18 PM16 trades$2,27714 min
6/8/2026, 2:53:18 AM48 trades$2,20216 min
6/7/2026, 7:37:57 PM34 trades$2,02726 min
4/9/2026, 7:34:07 PM35 trades$1,69430 min
5/9/2026, 3:44:21 AM2 trades$1,6000 min
5/19/2026, 11:55:08 PM2 trades$1,3570 min
6/9/2026, 5:22:57 PM41 trades$1,3483 min
5/3/2026, 6:53:00 PM4 trades$1,3080 min
4/13/2026, 7:29:25 PM30 trades$1,2242 min
6/19/2026, 3:38:25 PM32 trades$1,13520 min
5/3/2026, 2:59:52 PM9 trades$1,1313 min
4/10/2026, 3:34:17 PM44 trades$1,1198 min
6/7/2026, 8:09:52 PM19 trades$1,1026 min
6/20/2026, 3:00:52 PM23 trades$1,09814 min
5/1/2026, 6:54:02 PM7 trades$1,0611 min
5/1/2026, 7:16:06 PM2 trades$1,0410 min
4/30/2026, 10:20:28 AM4 trades$1,0183 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-29
08-07
10-07
12-17
03-16
05-28

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 64 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
32.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.79/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L21.9 / M39.1 / H39