@sirkomander

#2,671,98010

0x4a46ec4a7fd02c3d2c8b288607396271b3ad118c

~37d· 191 markets · 810 tradesVol: $24,3102026-08-04 19:48:43
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

10
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

10% (16/160)0/20
0.53x (win $621 / loss $1,173)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.8340/15
Sortino -4.0240/10
$-0.3374 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 296 (160 markets)10/10
10/32 profitable days (31%)0.3/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($611 / $0)0/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
65% entries < $0.20

Categories

9
🎭 CULTURE#773,643$-77Vol: $6,585
⚽ SPORTS#139,857$74Vol: $4,408
🌤️ WEATHER#16,475$20Vol: $3,627
🏛️ POLITICS#1,420,031$-30Vol: $3,341
₿ CRYPTO#1,497,700$-126Vol: $2,331
📢 MENTIONS#144,489$-22Vol: $1,766
💰 FINANCE#551,435$-6Vol: $1,081
💻 TECH#236,024$-20Vol: $513
📈 ECONOMICS#72,546$3Vol: $58

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-166
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$24,310
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
191
total markets
Trades
280B / 530S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~37d

Periods

#2
Today
$-1
Vol: $0
Week
$-3
Vol: $0
Month
$-8
Vol: $125
All Time
$-166
Vol: $24,310

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
10%
16W / 144L events
Realized PnL
$-165
Win Rate
10%
16W / 144L
Profit Factor
0.53x
Avg Win
$39
Avg Loss
$-11

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $276 (1.6719612003637467% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will MrBeast hit 124.5 billion views by May 31?$120
Knicks vs. Spurs$82
Knicks vs. Spurs$74
Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?$64
Larry Wheels divorce by June 30?$57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET$51
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14?$34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET$33
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?$31
President Trump to Attend USA Opening Match?$27

Top Losers

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET$-174
Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?$-102
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET$-59
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-53
Spurs vs. Knicks$-50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET$-47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET$-46
100m views on a MrBeast video in the first week by June 30?$-40
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 13, 2026?$-40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET$-37

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.198
Sortino
-0.178
HHI
249
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.380
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
8.9%
Top-5 markets
26.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
9.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
2.2
Active Hours
19/24
Extended
Peak Hour
1:00 UTC
Median Gap
59s
between trades
Avg Gap
1.1h
between trades
Night Trading
46%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.58
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
14.3

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 59s — normal for humanCV 1.58 — diverse sizes (human-like)46% night trades — never sleeps19/24 hours — extended activity10 trades/day — normal2.2 markets/day — normal35% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 1:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.3
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)64.6%
Mid (20-55c)23.6%
High (>55c)11.8%

Sessions

#12
5/13/2026, 12:50:59 AM20 trades$2,5129 min
6/15/2026, 7:14:54 AM34 trades$1,5845 min
5/13/2026, 1:06:20 AM89 trades$1,04822 min
6/18/2026, 4:35:31 AM8 trades$1,0151 min
5/15/2026, 5:05:07 AM8 trades$6965 min
5/16/2026, 10:24:15 PM13 trades$6045 min
5/13/2026, 12:27:08 AM57 trades$55617 min
6/15/2026, 6:41:42 AM15 trades$4895 min
5/13/2026, 1:35:38 AM19 trades$4055 min
5/16/2026, 6:53:19 PM4 trades$4001 min
5/10/2026, 4:56:29 AM17 trades$3705 min
5/9/2026, 4:13:59 AM28 trades$3539 min
5/21/2026, 8:34:22 AM30 trades$3307 min
5/17/2026, 7:00:41 PM27 trades$30217 min
6/8/2026, 10:29:57 PM16 trades$2419 min
6/4/2026, 9:33:48 PM30 trades$2179 min
5/19/2026, 7:52:52 PM10 trades$2116 min
6/15/2026, 6:35:09 AM8 trades$2061 min
5/25/2026, 10:35:39 AM24 trades$20310 min
5/9/2026, 3:30:42 AM9 trades$1922 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-09
05-16
05-21
06-04
06-15
06-29
07-20

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
65.4% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.3/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L64.6 / M23.6 / H11.8