@sivashankar

#2,982,36529

0x00356bdf41badf724902ddf99f1c470043426e64

~49d· 314 markets · 1026 tradesVol: $83,763 @SivaSha672975192026-08-04 19:55:53
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

29
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

60% (189/314)15.1/20
0.32x (win $1,638 / loss $5,198)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.8390/15
Sortino -2.8150/10
$-0.2118 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 440 (314 markets)10/10
22/47 profitable days (47%)4.2/10
Max DD 1749% of peak ($3,926 / $224)0/10

Badges

3
Sniper
Win rate 60%
Contrarian
57% entries < $0.55
Win Streak
7 wins in a row

Categories

7
🏛️ POLITICS#1,613,448$-990Vol: $38,001
CRYPTO#1,608,842$-784Vol: $33,613
🎭 CULTURE#22,053$90Vol: $3,007
💰 FINANCE#505,120$-2Vol: $2,005
SPORTS#1,559,018$-39Vol: $971
🌤️ WEATHER#182,340$-1Vol: $500
💻 TECH#190,331$-1Vol: $200

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-1,726
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$83,763
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
314
total markets
Trades
727B / 299S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~49d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$-0
Vol: $0
Month
$-0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-1,726
Vol: $83,763

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
60%
189W / 125L events
Realized PnL
$-1,726
Win Rate
60%
189W / 125L
Profit Factor
0.32x
Avg Win
$9
Avg Loss
$-43

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $203 (0.11755980833521637% of PnL)

Top Winners

XRP Up or Down - February 12, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET$75
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?$68
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET$60
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET$60
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET$50
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET$50
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 23 to February 25, 2026?$48
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?$42
Ethereum Up or Down - February 10, 8PM ET$34
Ethereum Up or Down - February 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET$34

Top Losers

Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?$-3,485
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET$-90
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET$-89
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET$-84
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET$-82
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 12-18?$-78
Ethereum Up or Down - February 13, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET$-70
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET$-60
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET$-60
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET$-55

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.147
Sortino
-0.109
HHI
434
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.212
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
19.5%
Top-5 markets
26.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
5.9
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.8
Active Hours
19/24
Extended
Peak Hour
2:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.1h
between trades
Night Trading
35%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.35
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.2

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 252s — normal for humanCV 2.35 — diverse sizes (human-like)35% night trades — never sleeps19/24 hours — extended activity6 trades/day — normal1.8 markets/day — normal65% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 2:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.27
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)20.2%
Mid (20-55c)36.3%
High (>55c)43.5%

Sessions

#12
5/4/2026, 9:08:48 AM8 trades$4,0350 min
5/4/2026, 6:18:06 AM19 trades$3,6411 min
5/4/2026, 6:25:46 AM11 trades$1,0354 min
5/20/2026, 6:16:40 AM2 trades$1,0000 min
7/21/2026, 11:28:00 AM2 trades$1,0000 min
5/3/2026, 4:36:18 AM1 trades$9320 min
4/26/2026, 1:45:30 AM3 trades$7990 min
2/25/2026, 4:39:56 PM2 trades$5990 min
4/26/2026, 3:31:04 AM2 trades$5000 min
2/12/2026, 1:44:07 PM22 trades$4898 min
5/4/2026, 3:37:00 AM17 trades$45213 min
6/20/2026, 5:45:25 AM2 trades$3930 min
2/12/2026, 11:57:45 AM2 trades$3771 min
2/12/2026, 2:55:19 PM10 trades$3544 min
2/18/2026, 5:53:14 PM2 trades$2901 min
5/4/2026, 3:27:54 AM1 trades$2770 min
3/1/2026, 5:52:31 AM6 trades$27612 min
2/25/2026, 12:56:08 PM8 trades$2753 min
5/3/2026, 10:25:08 AM3 trades$2725 min
2/19/2026, 5:49:40 AM3 trades$2715 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-07
02-14
02-21
03-22
05-13
06-20
07-23

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 129 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
29.1% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.27/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L20.2 / M36.3 / H43.5