@skyw

#21,13195

0x05d48593c06b70a59f213f4fe390ed92dbaa92f5

~41d· 58 markets · 282 tradesVol: $135,2912026-08-05 16:38:03
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

95
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

66% (35/53)18/20
2.37x (win $13,237 / loss $5,583)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 4.83315/15
Sortino 11.75710/10
$+0.1984 per $1 invested9.9/10
HHI 673 (53 markets)9.1/10
23/33 profitable days (70%)9.9/10
Max DD 32% of peak ($2,497 / $7,813)7.6/10

Badges

6
Sniper
Win rate 66%
Profitable
PnL $+6,309
Contrarian
72% entries < $0.55
Diamond Hands
9% sells
Consistent
23/33 profitable days
Win Streak
6 wins in a row

Categories

5
CRYPTO#10,710$4,483Vol: $84,325
🏛️ POLITICS#26,018$544Vol: $47,813
💰 FINANCE#3,470$1,280Vol: $2,925
🎭 CULTURE#109,497$3Vol: $222
SPORTS#544,635$0Vol: $5

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$6,309
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$135,291
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
58
total markets
Trades
257B / 25S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~41d

Periods

#2
Today
$-77
Vol: $0
Week
$-739
Vol: $4,800
Month
$-1,016
Vol: $4,800
All Time
$6,309
Vol: $135,291

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
66%
35W / 18L events
Realized PnL
$6,309
Win Rate
66%
35W / 18L
Profit Factor
2.37x
Avg Win
$378
Avg Loss
$-310

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $6,456 (1.0233389706127094% of PnL)

Top Winners

US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$4,507
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?$978
Will Ethereum dip to $3800 in October?$971
Will Ethereum reach $4800 in October?$948
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $114,000 on October 28?$883
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,700 by end of June?$829
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,900 on October 17?$541
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,600 on November 12?$485
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?$439
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June?$366

Top Losers

US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$-1,862
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?$-994
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?$-598
Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,000 on October 30?$-500
US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?$-329
Will the price of Solana be above $150 on December 11?$-301
Will Solana reach $80 in July?$-187
Will Ethereum reach $2400 in May?$-140
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 12, 2026?$-140
US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?$-117

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.249
Sortino
0.395
HHI
415
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.234
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
9.9%
Top-5 markets
38%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
21/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.3h
between trades
Night Trading
4%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.40
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.1

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 166s — normal for humanCV 2.40 — diverse sizes (human-like)4% night trades — normal pattern21/24 hours — extended activity1 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal68% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.34
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)25.7%
Mid (20-55c)46.7%
High (>55c)27.6%

Sessions

#12
10/19/2025, 5:38:03 PM2 trades$4,6281 min
10/24/2025, 9:08:39 PM7 trades$3,53712 min
10/17/2025, 6:48:01 AM1 trades$3,2960 min
10/9/2025, 2:13:30 PM3 trades$2,5002 min
1/13/2026, 8:34:44 PM2 trades$2,4800 min
10/9/2025, 2:26:54 PM1 trades$2,3120 min
10/17/2025, 6:07:59 AM1 trades$2,2450 min
1/14/2026, 6:41:12 PM17 trades$2,0334 min
11/8/2025, 11:38:51 PM2 trades$2,0131 min
7/26/2026, 12:37:01 PM3 trades$1,6000 min
7/24/2026, 8:31:21 AM7 trades$1,5984 min
11/22/2025, 7:19:21 AM2 trades$1,4540 min
1/2/2026, 7:28:05 PM1 trades$1,3540 min
1/16/2026, 10:25:38 AM3 trades$1,3524 min
7/24/2026, 3:39:31 PM3 trades$1,2181 min
10/27/2025, 9:40:31 AM1 trades$1,1830 min
11/9/2025, 10:35:01 PM3 trades$1,0922 min
2/15/2026, 9:34:43 PM1 trades$9900 min
1/18/2026, 10:53:16 AM1 trades$9120 min
11/3/2025, 4:41:19 PM1 trades$9080 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-07
10-13
10-27
11-09
11-30
01-14
03-23

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 57 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
8.9% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.34/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L25.7 / M46.7 / H27.6