@smeagelsthrasher

#2,583,63127

0xffcff7d8359ba39b2305994bc92e17118d4567b0

~107d· 484 markets · 1081 tradesVol: $8,0442026-08-04 22:59:13
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

27
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

56% (271/483)13.1/20
0.92x (win $562 / loss $608)1.5/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.6760/15
Sortino -1.0220/10
$-0.0279 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 181 (483 markets)10/10
41/99 profitable days (41%)2.9/10
Max DD 1597% of peak ($148 / $9)0/10

Badges

1
Win Streak
12 wins in a row

Categories

7
🌤️ WEATHER#278,372$-59Vol: $2,540
₿ CRYPTO#726,553$-0Vol: $2,184
🎭 CULTURE#668,056$-7Vol: $1,447
💰 FINANCE#613,606$-40Vol: $862
⚽ SPORTS#1,475,206$-22Vol: $834
🏛️ POLITICS#1,013,540$-2Vol: $112
📈 ECONOMICS#28,941$20Vol: $59

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-110
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$8,044
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
484
total markets
Trades
598B / 483S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~107d

Periods

#2
Today
$-2
Vol: $12
Week
$-2
Vol: $33
Month
$-3
Vol: $33
All Time
$-110
Vol: $8,044

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
56%
271W / 212L events
Realized PnL
$-110
Win Rate
56%
271W / 212L
Profit Factor
0.92x
Avg Win
$2
Avg Loss
$-3

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $230 (2.0924308588064044% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 20?$111
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 19?$78
Will the April 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?$41
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 21?$33
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 17?$24
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 13?$21
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 46-47°F on March 11?$15
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?$14
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on March 9?$7
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on March 15?$5

Top Losers

Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 20?$-78
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 16?$-60
Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?$-38
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on June 21?$-34
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on June 18?$-26
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?$-20
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?$-15
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$-12
Spread: Sweden (-2.5)$-10
Spread: New York Yankees (-4.5)$-10

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.035
Sortino
-0.046
HHI
170
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.028
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
6.1%
Top-5 markets
24.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
5.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
2.2
Active Hours
21/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
23:00 UTC
Median Gap
10.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.1h
between trades
Night Trading
17%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.16
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.0

Bot Detection

#6
10
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 630s — normal for humanCV 2.16 — diverse sizes (human-like)17% night trades — unusual hours21/24 hours — extended activity5 trades/day — normal2.2 markets/day — normal19% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 23:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.23
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)5.4%
Mid (20-55c)34.4%
High (>55c)60.2%

Sessions

#12
6/19/2026, 3:12:13 PM3 trades$1030 min
6/18/2026, 12:20:26 AM2 trades$980 min
6/21/2026, 4:17:26 PM2 trades$930 min
6/20/2026, 11:02:22 PM14 trades$894 min
6/20/2026, 2:46:05 AM4 trades$800 min
6/19/2026, 3:17:26 PM2 trades$780 min
6/20/2026, 8:25:52 PM3 trades$770 min
5/23/2026, 7:15:35 PM6 trades$760 min
6/18/2026, 6:19:16 AM5 trades$710 min
5/8/2026, 1:38:06 PM2 trades$590 min
6/16/2026, 5:25:11 PM9 trades$530 min
6/18/2026, 2:05:10 PM3 trades$500 min
6/16/2026, 12:38:51 PM3 trades$490 min
6/7/2026, 11:00:57 PM14 trades$4612 min
6/13/2026, 4:23:58 PM2 trades$400 min
6/17/2026, 12:19:58 PM3 trades$350 min
6/19/2026, 11:01:31 PM7 trades$340 min
4/27/2026, 8:38:12 PM2 trades$300 min
6/14/2026, 10:04:52 PM6 trades$283 min
6/19/2026, 8:45:13 PM2 trades$250 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-22
01-23
02-12
03-02
03-18
06-13
07-16

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 140 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
50% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
44.7% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.23/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L5.4 / M34.4 / H60.2