@smegma3000

#8,92355

0x8b8c28523421d03abd9a8c41513c4fbbaa8c9390

~121d· 302 markets · 1464 tradesVol: $1,409,5852026-08-05 02:05:24
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

55
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

57% (173/301)13.7/20
1.09x (win $239,268 / loss $220,369)3.6/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.62811.8/15
Sortino 0.8398.4/10
$+0.0290 per $1 invested1.5/10
HHI 100 (301 markets)10/10
61/110 profitable days (55%)6.4/10
Max DD 153% of peak ($35,589 / $23,313)0/10

Badges

9
Profitable
PnL $+17,336
Contrarian
55% entries < $0.55
Diamond Hands
9% sells
DCA Master
Avg 5.1 entries/market
Whale
$651,420 invested
High Roller
$1,023/day
Win Streak
10 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
22/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
75% maker orders

Categories

3
SPORTS#1,706$37,989Vol: $1,238,617
🏛️ POLITICS#1,640,846$-27,746Vol: $75,619
🎭 CULTURE#1,431$5,552Vol: $62,398

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$17,336
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,409,585
Total Redeem
$6,183
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
302
total markets
Trades
1338B / 126S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~121d

Periods

#2
Today
$405
Vol: $0
Week
$450
Vol: $3,000
Month
$1,990
Vol: $13,000
All Time
$17,336
Vol: $1,409,585

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
57%
173W / 128L events
Realized PnL
$17,336
Win Rate
57%
173W / 128L
Profit Factor
1.09x
Avg Win
$1,383
Avg Loss
$-1,722

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $42,636 (2.459482969966341% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?$16,014
Spurs vs. Knicks$14,744
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$11,879
Bengals vs. Ravens$11,620
Patriots vs. Ravens$7,330
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?$6,821
UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)$6,400
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?$5,551
Bears vs. Eagles$5,180
49ers vs. Colts$3,300

Top Losers

Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?$-18,125
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$-10,345
Connecticut Huskies vs. Illinois Fighting Illini$-10,000
Spurs vs. Knicks$-9,200
Knicks vs. Spurs$-8,000
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)$-7,700
UFC 323: Pantoja vs. Van (Flyweight, Main Card)$-6,700
Ohio State vs. Indiana$-6,360
Lions vs. Vikings$-4,730
UFC 322: Shevchenko vs. Weili (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)$-4,520

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.033
Sortino
0.034
HHI
96
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.028
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2.8%
Top-5 markets
11.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.5
Active Hours
22/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
22:00 UTC
Median Gap
36s
between trades
Avg Gap
1.2h
between trades
Night Trading
23%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.58
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.3

Bot Detection

#6
25
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 36s — normal for humanCV 2.57 — diverse sizes (human-like)23% night trades — unusual hours22/24 hours — around the clock2 trades/day — normal0.5 markets/day — normal75% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 22:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.15
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)12.5%
Mid (20-55c)42.3%
High (>55c)45.2%

Sessions

#12
11/9/2025, 7:57:13 AM23 trades$24,0839 min
11/29/2025, 4:18:17 PM4 trades$22,2002 min
12/25/2025, 11:50:05 PM3 trades$14,9801 min
11/30/2025, 12:11:20 AM2 trades$14,4301 min
12/6/2025, 3:28:07 PM4 trades$14,1001 min
10/25/2025, 8:55:57 PM18 trades$13,4865 min
12/21/2025, 4:20:51 AM2 trades$12,3951 min
12/20/2025, 10:23:17 PM1 trades$11,0000 min
11/5/2024, 1:13:49 PM1 trades$10,9350 min
11/13/2025, 3:41:26 PM3 trades$10,3902 min
2/18/2026, 3:23:08 PM1 trades$10,1110 min
11/30/2025, 4:31:14 PM5 trades$10,0802 min
11/22/2025, 8:18:25 PM3 trades$10,0284 min
11/5/2024, 8:41:27 PM7 trades$9,91311 min
3/29/2026, 7:35:52 PM1 trades$9,8800 min
1/5/2026, 1:22:05 AM3 trades$9,4441 min
12/31/2025, 6:10:25 PM61 trades$9,12690 min
2/20/2026, 7:21:44 PM2 trades$8,8001 min
12/28/2025, 4:00:25 PM4 trades$8,2701 min
6/27/2026, 2:52:02 AM8 trades$8,0002 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-05
11-15
12-15
01-11
03-14
06-10
07-19

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 183 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
8.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.15/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L12.5 / M42.3 / H45.2