smi1e

@smi1e

#3,005,56340

0x9acd8d2bcabc675ef46e23d9fbb2f328cdb1a3fe

~124d· 576 markets · 4104 tradesVol: $343,111 @cl0udg0d_2026-08-04 18:11:58
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

40
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

93% (531/569)20/20
0.40x (win $4,606 / loss $11,438)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.9470/15
Sortino -1.9530/10
$-0.0588 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 129 (569 markets)10/10
98/110 profitable days (89%)10/10
Max DD 606% of peak ($8,693 / $1,435)0/10

Badges

6
Sniper
Win rate 93%
DCA Master
Avg 7.2 entries/market
Whale
$116,214 invested
Consistent
98/110 profitable days
Win Streak
49 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

5
🎭 CULTURE#6,665$654Vol: $248,458
🌤️ WEATHER#275,656$-49Vol: $82,416
SPORTS#1,861,478$-2,642Vol: $8,622
CRYPTO#1,535,964$-199Vol: $3,256
💰 FINANCE#600,567$-23Vol: $359

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-2,258
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$343,111
Total Redeem
$66
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
576
total markets
Trades
1726B / 2378S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~124d

Periods

#2
Today
$4
Vol: $6,337
Week
$67
Vol: $12,014
Month
$69
Vol: $13,944
All Time
$-2,258
Vol: $343,111

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
93%
531W / 38L events
Realized PnL
$-2,263
Win Rate
93%
531W / 38L
Profit Factor
0.4x
Avg Win
$9
Avg Loss
$-602

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,296 (0.5727230555126025% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?$510
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$408
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?$378
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$226
Will NYC Mayor post 140-159 posts from June 19 to June 26, 2026?$120
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$105
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$105
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$97
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 2 to April 4, 2026?$66
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?$55

Top Losers

Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?$-5,520
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$-3,337
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$-1,157
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$-379
Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in May 2026?$-358
Will CZ post 20-39 posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026?$-295
Will NYC Mayor post 60-79 posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?$-141
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 38°C on August 3?$-58
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?$-56
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?$-40

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.101
Sortino
-0.034
HHI
130
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.056
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
7.3%
Top-5 markets
18.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
30.0
Active
Markets / Day
4.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.5h
between trades
Night Trading
29%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.01
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
5 min
Avg Trades / Session
18.5

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 155s — normal for humanCV 2.01 — diverse sizes (human-like)29% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock30 trades/day — high frequency4.2 markets/day — normal41% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
7.2
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)4.3%
Mid (20-55c)0.2%
High (>55c)95.5%

Sessions

#12
6/14/2026, 6:13:13 PM2 trades$4,3910 min
5/19/2026, 3:55:13 PM20 trades$3,9973 min
4/24/2026, 4:11:38 PM84 trades$3,37722 min
6/15/2026, 3:09:52 PM1 trades$2,7600 min
6/9/2026, 4:03:58 PM51 trades$2,62314 min
6/20/2026, 5:19:47 AM11 trades$2,5705 min
6/14/2026, 4:39:28 PM2 trades$2,0000 min
5/12/2026, 2:49:21 AM32 trades$1,7854 min
6/12/2026, 4:08:31 PM47 trades$1,76918 min
6/23/2026, 5:32:29 AM16 trades$1,5181 min
6/16/2026, 4:19:52 PM43 trades$1,45924 min
6/6/2026, 11:36:03 AM40 trades$1,43515 min
6/16/2026, 4:03:32 PM35 trades$1,3534 min
6/24/2026, 11:31:44 AM40 trades$1,3469 min
6/20/2026, 10:57:56 AM48 trades$1,27540 min
6/16/2026, 5:10:10 AM33 trades$1,2257 min
7/30/2026, 12:15:21 AM2 trades$1,1960 min
6/27/2026, 6:37:23 AM10 trades$1,1175 min
4/25/2026, 11:38:46 AM33 trades$1,1115 min
6/30/2026, 4:07:11 PM33 trades$1,0599 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-23
04-18
05-07
05-29
06-19
07-08
08-01

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 35 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
4% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
57.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 7.2/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L4.3 / M0.2 / H95.5