@smitethat

#2,850,24049

0xdbce44c4d3859f5cb48e3bf805241bf7e720c781

~52d· 458 markets · 1866 tradesVol: $34,1082026-08-04 23:03:18
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

49
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

38% (149/388)4.2/20
1.06x (win $1,415 / loss $1,340)3.2/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.11315/15
Sortino 1.66110/10
$+0.0250 per $1 invested1.2/10
HHI 490 (388 markets)10/10
24/45 profitable days (53%)5.8/10
Max DD 110% of peak ($179 / $163)0/10

Badges

3
Contrarian
60% entries < $0.55
Win Streak
8 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

7
₿ CRYPTO#1,550,700$-245Vol: $15,595
🌤️ WEATHER#290,208$-181Vol: $12,418
🏛️ POLITICS#141,039$17Vol: $2,369
⚽ SPORTS#1,499,308$-26Vol: $568
🎭 CULTURE#770,955$-69Vol: $305
💰 FINANCE#547,022$-5Vol: $74
📈 ECONOMICS#156,009$0Vol: $45

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-501
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$34,108
Total Redeem
$154
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
458
total markets
Trades
781B / 1085S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~52d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$-0
Vol: $0
Month
$-0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-501
Vol: $34,108

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
38%
149W / 239L events
Realized PnL
$-501
Win Rate
38%
149W / 239L
Profit Factor
1.06x
Avg Win
$10
Avg Loss
$-6

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $177 (0.3539363951957224% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$73
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$55
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET$49
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET$43
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C on July 21?$30
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET$27
Will TISZA win 50-54% of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?$27
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET$26
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET$26
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET$23

Top Losers

Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?$-84
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET$-20
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET$-19
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET$-18
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET$-16
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET$-16
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET$-15
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET$-14
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on April 24?$-13
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on April 24?$-12

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.058
Sortino
0.079
HHI
115
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.029
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
6.1%
Top-5 markets
20%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
11.1
Active
Markets / Day
2.7
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.0h
between trades
Night Trading
28%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.99
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
5 min
Avg Trades / Session
12.7

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 262s — normal for humanCV 1.99 — diverse sizes (human-like)28% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock11 trades/day — very active2.7 markets/day — normal42% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.07
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)14%
Mid (20-55c)46%
High (>55c)40.1%

Sessions

#12
4/25/2026, 11:40:22 AM6 trades$2,0195 min
7/20/2026, 10:41:36 PM2 trades$4000 min
7/14/2026, 3:14:07 PM119 trades$29513 min
4/12/2026, 8:12:27 PM6 trades$2675 min
4/12/2026, 11:27:11 PM5 trades$2500 min
4/12/2026, 10:49:49 PM4 trades$1910 min
4/12/2026, 8:05:25 PM4 trades$1730 min
4/12/2026, 7:55:11 PM4 trades$1560 min
7/7/2026, 2:15:25 PM21 trades$15310 min
4/24/2026, 8:52:18 AM14 trades$13812 min
7/17/2026, 5:25:19 PM12 trades$1344 min
7/28/2026, 11:29:23 PM30 trades$12712 min
6/7/2026, 10:06:04 AM24 trades$1088 min
7/14/2026, 4:53:41 PM8 trades$895 min
4/24/2026, 1:53:38 PM16 trades$8714 min
6/7/2026, 8:14:48 AM14 trades$825 min
4/11/2026, 4:10:13 AM2 trades$770 min
7/12/2026, 4:02:17 AM28 trades$7724 min
4/30/2026, 8:28:58 AM6 trades$710 min
6/7/2026, 3:16:39 AM18 trades$716 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-12
04-24
06-04
06-28
07-07
07-17
07-25

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 72 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
8% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
58.1% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.07/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L14 / M46 / H40.1