@snowcasey

#2,622,49521

0xb1405b7fa775adac4cb22ff03a396f9c535e937e

~20d· 36 markets · 77 tradesVol: $120,6252026-08-04 19:00:33
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

21
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

63% (17/27)16.5/20
0.15x (win $29 / loss $196)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -7.1750/15
Sortino -6.7520/10
$-0.0312 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 2304 (27 markets)1/10
7/16 profitable days (44%)3.4/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($175 / $0)0/10

Badges

2
Sniper
Win rate 63%
Lottery Player
34% entries < $0.20

Categories

5
🏛️ POLITICS#113,246$30Vol: $56,771
⚽ SPORTS#1,721,488$-158Vol: $31,503
📈 ECONOMICS#61,101$5Vol: $20,534
💰 FINANCE#570,126$-10Vol: $6,550
₿ CRYPTO#309,152$4Vol: $5,267

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-129
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$120,625
Total Redeem
$30
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
36
total markets
Trades
44B / 33S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~20d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$0
Vol: $0
Month
$1
Vol: $0
All Time
$-129
Vol: $120,625

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
63%
17W / 10L events
Realized PnL
$-129
Win Rate
63%
17W / 10L
Profit Factor
0.15x
Avg Win
$2
Avg Loss
$-20

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $19 (0.14991085962328501% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$7
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$7
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after May 2025 meeting?$5
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by March 31?$3
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?$2
Solana all time high by March 31?$1
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by March 31?$1
Will EdgeX launch a token by September 30, 2026?$1
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after July 2025 meeting?$1
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?$0

Top Losers

Nuggets vs. Mavericks$-105
Will Sparta Prague win the UEFA Champions League?$-32
Will XRP dip to $1.0 in July?$-13
Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$-13
Will 'Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga' gross most in 2024?$-12
Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?$-8
Will Ajax win the 2025–26 Champions League?$-7
Fed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after January 2025 meeting?$-4
Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2025 Stanley Cup?$-1
Crystal Palace wins the Premier League?$-1

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.364
Sortino
-0.298
HHI
1469
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.036
Kelly %
10.7%
Half-Kelly
5.3%
Top-1 market
23.2%
Top-5 markets
72.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
15/24
Extended
Peak Hour
10:00 UTC
Median Gap
39s
between trades
Avg Gap
2.0h
between trades
Night Trading
16%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.34
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
21
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.7

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 39s — normal for humanCV 2.34 — diverse sizes (human-like)16% night trades — unusual hours15/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal17% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 10:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.52
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)34.1%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)65.9%

Sessions

#12
12/28/2024, 7:46:52 AM5 trades$2,4763 min
12/29/2024, 6:37:22 AM4 trades$2,2812 min
12/27/2024, 1:16:08 PM3 trades$1,2651 min
12/30/2024, 5:48:36 AM2 trades$1,1101 min
5/30/2026, 10:56:22 AM18 trades$5733 min
4/9/2026, 8:39:49 AM9 trades$4153 min
2/17/2026, 10:54:17 AM4 trades$3413 min
6/23/2026, 1:54:31 AM8 trades$2381 min
7/31/2026, 5:01:09 PM4 trades$2211 min
6/25/2025, 3:42:31 PM2 trades$1472 min
11/1/2025, 2:48:49 AM2 trades$1281 min
12/23/2025, 3:06:43 PM2 trades$1121 min
3/25/2026, 2:07:43 PM3 trades$952 min
1/11/2025, 11:55:33 AM2 trades$521 min
1/28/2026, 3:04:57 PM1 trades$510 min
7/18/2025, 9:56:08 AM2 trades$452 min
4/27/2025, 1:22:22 PM2 trades$280 min
3/6/2025, 11:46:05 AM1 trades$280 min
4/4/2025, 4:16:29 PM1 trades$230 min
1/7/2025, 8:34:39 PM1 trades$120 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-27
12-29
01-07
03-06
06-25
11-01
02-17
04-09

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
42.9% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.52/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L34.1 / M0 / H65.9