@solder
#34,024960x727e819c79ac4eb555518cccdfd424d2d4cf8b9d
~201d· 1122 markets · 4352 tradesVol: $150,1952026-08-04 17:17:53
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
96
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
74% (779/1054)20/20
2.21x (win $5,694 / loss $2,580)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.60415/15
Sortino 13.64710/10
$+0.1483 per $1 invested7.4/10
HHI 74 (1054 markets)10/10
105/160 profitable days (66%)8.9/10
Max DD 9% of peak ($309 / $3,422)10/10
Badges
6Sniper
Win rate 74%
Profitable
PnL $+3,466
Consistent
105/160 profitable days
Cool Head
Max DD 9%
Win Streak
15 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
9🏛️ POLITICS#17,359$1,054Vol: $81,118
₿ CRYPTO#66,482$194Vol: $29,055
📢 MENTIONS#839$1,717Vol: $15,986
⚽ SPORTS#1,651,671$-81Vol: $13,137
💰 FINANCE#7,447$451Vol: $6,158
🎭 CULTURE#29,108$55Vol: $2,227
🌤️ WEATHER#20,777$12Vol: $757
📈 ECONOMICS#62,665$4Vol: $750
💻 TECH#8,078$57Vol: $404
Overview
#1Net PnL
$3,466
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$150,195
Total Redeem
$1,014
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1122
total markets
Trades
3191B / 1161S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~201d
Periods
#2Today
$2
Vol: $0
Week
$4
Vol: $15
Month
$16
Vol: $15
All Time
$3,466
Vol: $150,195
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
74%
779W / 275L events
Realized PnL
$3,466
Win Rate
74%
779W / 275L
Profit Factor
2.21x
Avg Win
$7
Avg Loss
$-10
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,788 (0.5160272964667523% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$732
US strikes Iraq by February 28?$531
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?$525
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?$296
Another critical Cloudflare incident by February 28, 2026?$230
Will Israel strike Iraq by February 28?$174
Will Keir Starmer say "Deeply Concerning" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?$169
Iran successfully targets shipping on June 27?$168
Will Israel or the US target Fordow nuclear facility?$94
Will Trump say "America Last" in May?$78
Top Losers
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?$-218
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?$-147
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$-111
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?$-95
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?$-93
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$-90
Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?$-74
Will Atlético Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?$-73
Will there be 10+ missed penalties during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-71
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?$-61
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.136
Sortino
0.490
HHI
44
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.157
Kelly %
26.1%
Half-Kelly
13.0%
Top-1 market
2.7%
Top-5 markets
9.6%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
17.3
Active
Markets / Day
4.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
9.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.1h
between trades
Night Trading
24%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.92
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
5 min
Avg Trades / Session
9.6
Bot Detection
#625
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 574s — normal for humanCV 1.92 — diverse sizes (human-like)24% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock17 trades/day — very active4.5 markets/day — normal65% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 20:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
4.02
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)15.7%
Mid (20-55c)32.6%
High (>55c)51.8%
Sessions
#127/20/2026, 4:02:18 PM2 trades$1,0000 min
5/15/2026, 5:00:54 PM9 trades$7513 min
5/18/2026, 1:11:14 PM2 trades$4490 min
3/7/2026, 11:56:13 PM39 trades$34410 min
5/18/2026, 12:42:23 PM8 trades$3062 min
3/23/2026, 1:34:09 AM4 trades$2754 min
3/13/2026, 6:01:25 PM7 trades$27510 min
5/28/2026, 2:30:03 PM5 trades$2494 min
3/21/2026, 7:00:05 AM11 trades$2180 min
2/28/2026, 1:05:57 AM12 trades$21214 min
3/21/2026, 7:06:41 AM6 trades$2095 min
3/23/2026, 3:56:39 PM5 trades$2063 min
3/24/2026, 5:02:35 PM3 trades$2043 min
3/23/2026, 7:57:11 PM5 trades$2033 min
4/11/2026, 7:35:29 PM20 trades$2001 min
5/11/2026, 3:45:33 PM2 trades$2000 min
7/1/2026, 11:43:59 PM4 trades$1810 min
2/28/2026, 1:42:29 PM12 trades$17917 min
3/1/2026, 6:30:35 AM5 trades$1797 min
2/28/2026, 9:15:39 AM3 trades$1785 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-25
01-13
02-18
03-16
04-14
05-16
06-30
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 23 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
26.7% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.02/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L15.7 / M32.6 / H51.8