@soulescape

#2,899,75919

0x2d60490a59345bbf86cc10546089008eadc8d7df

~94d· 749 markets · 2388 tradesVol: $83,3362026-08-04 20:20:24
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

19
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

38% (281/749)3.8/20
0.56x (win $568 / loss $1,017)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -6.7730/15
Sortino -6.7800/10
$-0.0294 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 649 (749 markets)9.3/10
47/89 profitable days (53%)5.7/10
Max DD 28913% of peak ($471 / $2)0/10

Badges

3
Contrarian
57% entries < $0.55
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

1
🌤️ WEATHER#296,820$-775Vol: $83,336

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-775
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$83,336
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
749
total markets
Trades
1354B / 1034S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~94d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
38%
281W / 468L events
Realized PnL
$-775
Win Rate
38%
281W / 468L
Profit Factor
0.56x
Avg Win
$2
Avg Loss
$-3

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $71 (0.09211409395973155% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 43°F or below on January 17?$26
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 70-71°F on February 16?$25
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on June 4?$21
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 40-41°F on February 18?$16
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on February 18?$15
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on February 18?$15
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on March 23?$13
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on February 18?$13
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on June 6?$13
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on March 4?$13

Top Losers

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 13?$-50
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on June 16?$-50
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on June 6?$-33
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 68°F or higher on June 5?$-31
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on June 6?$-26
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on June 7?$-16
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 72-73°F on February 16?$-15
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 44-45°F on January 17?$-15
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on March 8?$-15
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on March 6?$-12

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.352
Sortino
-0.355
HHI
50
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.029
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
1.6%
Top-5 markets
7.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
12.8
Active
Markets / Day
4.0
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.1h
between trades
Night Trading
18%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.60
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
8.6

Bot Detection

#6
25
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 201s — normal for humanCV 1.60 — diverse sizes (human-like)18% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock13 trades/day — very active4.0 markets/day — normal35% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.19
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)18.3%
Mid (20-55c)39%
High (>55c)42.7%

Sessions

#12
6/5/2026, 9:13:03 PM4 trades$7,7780 min
7/6/2026, 6:00:43 PM20 trades$49411 min
7/16/2026, 12:36:31 AM6 trades$4504 min
7/17/2026, 5:54:48 AM8 trades$4498 min
6/29/2026, 6:05:47 PM17 trades$3804 min
6/19/2026, 3:18:35 PM11 trades$3384 min
6/26/2026, 5:13:40 AM9 trades$3194 min
6/20/2026, 3:25:01 PM13 trades$2865 min
7/4/2026, 6:27:31 AM4 trades$2863 min
7/3/2026, 3:27:19 PM12 trades$2698 min
6/18/2026, 11:35:47 PM3 trades$2480 min
6/19/2026, 12:15:49 AM2 trades$2480 min
6/30/2026, 6:19:32 AM8 trades$2484 min
6/18/2026, 2:05:43 PM4 trades$2360 min
6/12/2026, 4:27:40 PM20 trades$22711 min
7/3/2026, 3:21:32 PM6 trades$2250 min
7/18/2026, 5:25:15 AM9 trades$2254 min
7/18/2026, 3:02:40 AM9 trades$2255 min
7/17/2026, 7:05:10 PM8 trades$2256 min
6/13/2026, 5:14:30 AM17 trades$22513 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-17
02-23
03-14
03-28
06-13
06-27
07-13

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 147 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
WEATHER
100% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
43.3% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.19/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L18.3 / M39 / H42.7