@soupdumplin

#2,982,47013

0x59b89bd107de41f7356a323e5025a348c31a11a5

~15d· 30 markets · 230 tradesVol: $32,1392026-08-05 17:25:31
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

13
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

43% (6/14)6.4/20
0.26x (win $508 / loss $1,982)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -5.7500/15
Sortino -5.6170/10
$-0.2560 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1946 (14 markets)2.8/10
4/9 profitable days (44%)3.6/10
Max DD 1540% of peak ($1,647 / $107)0/10

Categories

7
⚽ SPORTS#1,755,978$-248Vol: $12,411
🎭 CULTURE#788,192$-122Vol: $6,290
🏛️ POLITICS#1,450,513$-43Vol: $6,123
💻 TECH#258,133$-1,246Vol: $4,123
💰 FINANCE#29,344$40Vol: $2,658
📢 MENTIONS#161,843$-81Vol: $435
📈 ECONOMICS#99,332$1Vol: $100

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-1,699
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$32,139
Total Redeem
$1,112
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
30
total markets
Trades
75B / 155S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~15d

Periods

#2
Today
$-14
Vol: $0
Week
$-26
Vol: $0
Month
$-23
Vol: $180
All Time
$-1,699
Vol: $32,139

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
43%
6W / 8L events
Realized PnL
$-1,699
Win Rate
43%
6W / 8L
Profit Factor
0.26x
Avg Win
$85
Avg Loss
$-248

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $412 (0.2425728295356216% of PnL)

Top Winners

Israel closes its airspace by July 31?$210
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by July 31?$108
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?$94
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?$61
Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in July 2026?$30
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $280 in July?$5

Top Losers

Will any other model be the best AI model on August 1, 2026?$-1,647
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-276
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?$-20
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?$-15
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?$-12
Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?$-7
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-4
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting?$-1

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.284
Sortino
-0.231
HHI
473
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.525
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
17.4%
Top-5 markets
41.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
11.0
Active
Markets / Day
1.4
Active Hours
18/24
Extended
Peak Hour
7:00 UTC
Median Gap
24.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.1h
between trades
Night Trading
24%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.84
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.2

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1467s — normal for humanCV 1.84 — diverse sizes (human-like)24% night trades — unusual hours18/24 hours — extended activity11 trades/day — very active1.4 markets/day — normal33% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 7:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
10.71
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)18.7%
Mid (20-55c)22.7%
High (>55c)58.7%

Sessions

#12
7/19/2026, 12:57:39 AM6 trades$2,0000 min
7/27/2026, 7:43:58 AM6 trades$1,1645 min
7/22/2026, 8:33:00 AM7 trades$1,1212 min
7/27/2026, 3:28:52 AM3 trades$7010 min
7/27/2026, 8:24:13 AM5 trades$6402 min
7/27/2026, 2:31:55 AM6 trades$6130 min
7/22/2026, 7:56:58 AM2 trades$5000 min
7/22/2026, 7:25:46 AM27 trades$4835 min
7/27/2026, 8:00:16 AM2 trades$4000 min
7/14/2026, 1:43:59 AM9 trades$3910 min
7/14/2026, 5:30:46 AM7 trades$2490 min
7/26/2026, 6:33:24 AM4 trades$2300 min
7/22/2026, 7:39:22 AM6 trades$2060 min
7/13/2026, 7:28:38 AM2 trades$2000 min
7/18/2026, 10:41:19 PM2 trades$2000 min
7/27/2026, 7:37:30 AM2 trades$2000 min
7/14/2026, 8:38:53 PM6 trades$1971 min
8/1/2026, 10:41:23 PM4 trades$1710 min
7/13/2026, 8:53:29 AM6 trades$1460 min
7/14/2026, 4:56:31 AM1 trades$1380 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
2026-07-17 16:00:00
2026-07-20 00:00:00
2026-07-24 00:00:00
2026-07-31 00:00:00
2026-07-31 23:59:00
2026-08-01 03:59:59
2026-08-01 23:59:00
2026-11-01 00:00:00
2026-12-31 00:00:00

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
67.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 10.71/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L18.7 / M22.7 / H58.7