@spakila

#31,07123

0x77662b0f165fe2a47fa270b797e7e8189034b7f6

~148d· 423 markets · 6112 tradesVol: $770,078 @TrumpN01202026-08-04 19:47:47
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

23
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

27% (115/423)0/20
1.03x (win $15,999 / loss $15,477)2.9/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.2274.3/15
Sortino 0.4184.2/10
$+0.0168 per $1 invested0.8/10
HHI 146 (423 markets)10/10
41/125 profitable days (33%)0.7/10
Max DD 114% of peak ($4,386 / $3,854)0/10

Badges

5
Profitable
PnL $+3,899
Lottery Player
91% entries < $0.20
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
82% maker orders

Categories

5
🎭 CULTURE#1,825$4,095Vol: $769,043
📈 ECONOMICS#667,899$-190Vol: $745
🏛️ POLITICS#197,901$7Vol: $177
💰 FINANCE#563,727$-8Vol: $64
SPORTS#1,224,376$-5Vol: $28

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$3,899
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$770,078
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
423
total markets
Trades
5050B / 1062S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~148d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$0
Vol: $0
Month
$0
Vol: $0
All Time
$3,899
Vol: $770,078

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
27%
115W / 308L events
Realized PnL
$3,899
Win Rate
27%
115W / 308L
Profit Factor
1.03x
Avg Win
$139
Avg Loss
$-53

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $4,449 (1.140946602315216% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?$1,573
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$1,472
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?$1,403
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from February 9 to February 11, 2026?$1,228
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$1,009
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?$704
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?$690
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?$608
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 16 to February 18, 2026?$591
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 24 to January 26, 2026?$523

Top Losers

Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 5th Weekend Box Office be between 13m and 14.5m?$-552
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 2 to April 4, 2026?$-340
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?$-331
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?$-316
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?$-305
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 19 to February 21, 2026?$-233
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?$-218
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from January 29 to January 31, 2026?$-217
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 19 to February 21, 2026?$-215
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 14 to February 16, 2026?$-203

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.012
Sortino
0.023
HHI
327
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.017
Kelly %
4.9%
Half-Kelly
2.5%
Top-1 market
16.4%
Top-5 markets
25.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
30.7
Active
Markets / Day
2.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
40.9m
between trades
Night Trading
12%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
11.75
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
9.3

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 232s — normal for humanCV 11.75 — diverse sizes (human-like)12% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock31 trades/day — high frequency2.1 markets/day — normal82% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
14.45
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)90.6%
Mid (20-55c)5.9%
High (>55c)3.5%

Sessions

#12
4/27/2026, 11:23:42 AM8 trades$5,4415 min
6/5/2026, 12:00:40 PM2 trades$1,8000 min
3/20/2026, 3:56:23 PM1 trades$1,6630 min
5/5/2026, 4:01:06 PM2 trades$1,3510 min
2/11/2026, 2:45:49 PM10 trades$1,2142 min
4/29/2026, 12:20:22 PM5 trades$1,0024 min
4/28/2026, 7:51:56 PM2 trades$1,0000 min
5/15/2026, 2:36:02 PM37 trades$9791 min
4/3/2026, 2:15:47 PM12 trades$9040 min
4/3/2026, 12:51:37 PM9 trades$8970 min
4/30/2026, 2:44:38 PM21 trades$8851 min
4/1/2026, 11:00:23 AM18 trades$8184 min
3/13/2026, 2:19:55 PM1 trades$7750 min
3/24/2026, 12:19:41 PM18 trades$7262 min
3/18/2026, 2:49:23 PM1 trades$6610 min
6/7/2026, 1:10:54 PM11 trades$6452 min
2/9/2026, 12:25:05 PM5 trades$5693 min
5/20/2026, 7:10:06 PM13 trades$5690 min
3/31/2026, 9:31:39 AM7 trades$5493 min
6/9/2026, 10:03:45 AM23 trades$5271 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-09
02-05
03-02
03-22
04-26
05-20
07-09

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 27 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
17.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 14.45/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L90.6 / M5.9 / H3.5