@splogdes

#2,520,79121

0x29dfc554c39e7a64dbf9eaf9e21903124c089340

~55d· 33 markets · 293 tradesVol: $10,7412026-08-05 17:27:05
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

21
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

46% (13/28)8.2/20
0.51x (win $180 / loss $353)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.6860/15
Sortino -5.0220/10
$-0.1252 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1035 (28 markets)7.3/10
11/21 profitable days (52%)5.6/10
Max DD 3825% of peak ($177 / $5)0/10

Badges

3
Contrarian
51% entries < $0.55
DCA Master
Avg 8.2 entries/market
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

4
🌤️ WEATHER#9,756$56Vol: $6,434
🏛️ POLITICS#1,517,483$-99Vol: $4,113
SPORTS#1,592,436$-50Vol: $143
🎭 CULTURE#345,920$0Vol: $51

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-93
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$10,741
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
33
total markets
Trades
138B / 155S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~55d

Periods

#2
Today
$16
Vol: $60
Week
$16
Vol: $111
Month
$19
Vol: $111
All Time
$-93
Vol: $10,741

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
46%
13W / 15L events
Realized PnL
$-109
Win Rate
46%
13W / 15L
Profit Factor
0.51x
Avg Win
$14
Avg Loss
$-25

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $124 (1.1403508771929822% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will there be exactly 9 earthquake of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$51
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 29 - July 5?$44
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 8 - 14?$29
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 29 - July 5?$27
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 8 - 14?$8
Megaquake by June 30?$7
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 1?$5
Will there be between 5 and 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?$2
Will there be exactly 6 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$2
Will there be exactly 12 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$2

Top Losers

Norway vs. England: Team to Advance$-80
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?$-65
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?$-35
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?$-34
Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$-33
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?$-30
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 8?$-25
Will there be exactly 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$-17
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?$-15
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?$-9

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.239
Sortino
-0.242
HHI
947
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.139
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
22.6%
Top-5 markets
58%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
23:00 UTC
Median Gap
57.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
4.6h
between trades
Night Trading
20%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.45
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.5

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 3473s — normal for humanCV 2.45 — diverse sizes (human-like)20% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock2 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal44% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 23:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
8.25
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)22.5%
Mid (20-55c)29%
High (>55c)48.6%

Sessions

#12
2/1/2026, 11:34:28 PM1 trades$2720 min
2/2/2026, 11:46:26 AM2 trades$2532 min
6/17/2026, 7:09:17 PM14 trades$21312 min
7/11/2026, 9:16:13 PM6 trades$1164 min
6/24/2026, 10:22:58 PM9 trades$984 min
6/24/2026, 11:03:28 PM13 trades$914 min
6/29/2026, 11:26:40 PM2 trades$840 min
2/1/2026, 11:25:12 PM2 trades$800 min
7/1/2026, 12:47:25 AM3 trades$660 min
6/21/2026, 9:50:37 PM4 trades$531 min
6/17/2026, 3:43:34 PM3 trades$480 min
4/19/2026, 6:46:52 PM5 trades$480 min
7/1/2026, 11:40:26 PM2 trades$470 min
6/18/2026, 8:58:40 AM4 trades$430 min
6/19/2026, 7:20:16 AM8 trades$426 min
6/7/2026, 11:58:06 PM13 trades$416 min
7/3/2026, 7:11:05 AM2 trades$380 min
6/13/2026, 2:23:21 AM3 trades$360 min
6/24/2026, 10:55:05 PM4 trades$361 min
6/8/2026, 4:03:04 AM7 trades$349 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-29
02-04
03-02
06-05
06-13
06-24
07-01

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 160 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
52.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 8.25/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L22.5 / M29 / H48.6