stauffen

@stauffen

#5,26475

0x6d3fa0200fec1dbcf4dd7e4408aa1e53779ca942

~254d· 345 markets · 2889 tradesVol: $2,153,4042026-08-04 19:05:58
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

75
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

69% (237/345)19.3/20
1.21x (win $209,857 / loss $172,968)5.2/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.26115/15
Sortino 1.90310/10
$+0.0372 per $1 invested1.9/10
HHI 62 (345 markets)10/10
139/203 profitable days (68%)9.6/10
Max DD 50% of peak ($36,467 / $73,007)4/10

Badges

8
Sniper
Win rate 69%
Profitable
PnL $+32,060
DCA Master
Avg 8.5 entries/market
Whale
$991,716 invested
Consistent
139/203 profitable days
High Roller
$1,545/day
Win Streak
13 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

8
🎭 CULTURE#177$41,522Vol: $1,251,294
SPORTS#1,874,352$-6,694Vol: $740,797
🏛️ POLITICS#1,635,930$-6,644Vol: $90,574
CRYPTO#10,443$4,616Vol: $62,053
💻 TECH#5,122$132Vol: $3,362
📈 ECONOMICS#658,300$-95Vol: $2,546
🌤️ WEATHER#297,830$-1,087Vol: $1,858
📢 MENTIONS#3,077$310Vol: $919

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$32,060
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$2,153,404
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
345
total markets
Trades
1339B / 1550S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~254d

Periods

#2
Today
$511
Vol: $0
Week
$465
Vol: $3,748
Month
$1,083
Vol: $6,879
All Time
$32,060
Vol: $2,153,404

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
69%
237W / 108L events
Realized PnL
$32,060
Win Rate
69%
237W / 108L
Profit Factor
1.21x
Avg Win
$885
Avg Loss
$-1,647

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $33,625 (1.0488087804214667% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?$17,295
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?$10,241
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?$6,089
Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 10.5 Total Corners$5,999
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 7 to February 9, 2026?$4,511
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$4,270
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in November?$3,851
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 16 to February 18, 2026?$3,428
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?$3,427
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$3,246

Top Losers

Exact Score: New Zealand 1 - 3 Egypt?$-15,206
Exact Score: Scotland 0 - 1 Morocco?$-12,537
England vs. Ghana: O/U 0.5$-11,897
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026?$-10,042
Exact Score: Uruguay 0 - 1 Spain?$-9,761
Exact Score: Ecuador 2 - 1 Germany?$-6,618
Paraguay vs. Australia: O/U 0.5$-6,200
Will Elon Musk post 140+ tweets from January 5 to January 7, 2026?$-6,181
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?$-5,695
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5$-5,197

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.066
Sortino
0.073
HHI
60
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.037
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
1.9%
Top-5 markets
7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
4.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
23:00 UTC
Median Gap
54s
between trades
Avg Gap
1.9h
between trades
Night Trading
11%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.09
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
13.0

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 54s — normal for humanCV 2.09 — diverse sizes (human-like)11% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock4 trades/day — normal0.5 markets/day — normal20% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 23:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
8.46
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)16.4%
Mid (20-55c)16.1%
High (>55c)67.5%

Sessions

#12
6/21/2026, 11:25:32 PM42 trades$23,9463 min
6/23/2026, 12:51:49 AM6 trades$22,4041 min
6/21/2026, 9:33:40 PM3 trades$21,9230 min
6/22/2026, 5:49:08 PM8 trades$18,3642 min
5/14/2026, 10:49:55 PM26 trades$15,3811 min
6/19/2026, 11:13:28 PM26 trades$14,2782 min
6/13/2026, 10:42:42 PM14 trades$13,9512 min
7/1/2026, 10:50:02 PM18 trades$13,1620 min
2/8/2026, 4:18:39 PM12 trades$12,7826 min
6/23/2026, 9:25:20 PM16 trades$12,5112 min
6/27/2026, 2:01:52 AM4 trades$12,1272 min
6/21/2026, 11:01:52 AM16 trades$11,6990 min
2/5/2026, 6:10:43 PM4 trades$11,6232 min
6/21/2026, 8:39:58 PM4 trades$11,4580 min
11/11/2025, 3:30:28 PM6 trades$10,8858 min
3/3/2026, 10:34:07 AM8 trades$10,8087 min
6/21/2026, 12:11:20 AM18 trades$10,6730 min
6/20/2026, 12:12:26 AM2 trades$10,6300 min
6/27/2026, 1:39:04 AM15 trades$10,3381 min
6/18/2026, 3:53:50 PM13 trades$10,3270 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-04
03-18
09-14
12-24
02-11
04-01
07-17

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 33 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
53.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 8.46/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L16.4 / M16.1 / H67.5