@steeplejack

#3,074,21316

0xcf6087abd66e16b59a122d45bfcdc05d4b7247ce

~48d· 50 markets · 4539 tradesVol: $11,843,3632026-08-04 13:45:01
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

16
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

46% (22/48)7.9/20
0.79x (win $616,787 / loss $780,704)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.5780/15
Sortino -2.1450/10
$-0.0276 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1235 (48 markets)6.3/10
11/29 profitable days (38%)2/10
Max DD 242% of peak ($485,446 / $200,295)0/10

Badges

4
DCA Master
Avg 93.7 entries/market
Whale
$5,949,526 invested
High Roller
$64,669/day
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

7
🏛️ POLITICS#1,643,760$-194,708Vol: $9,549,965
📈 ECONOMICS#683,127$-49,613Vol: $1,256,578
SPORTS#1,881,919$-39,887Vol: $343,383
CRYPTO#1,675,591$-31,348Vol: $183,175
📢 MENTIONS#441$3,868Vol: $126,202
🎭 CULTURE#786,583$-125Vol: $7,095
💻 TECH#219,511$-6Vol: $20

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-432,735
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$11,843,363
Total Redeem
$1,057,203
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
50
total markets
Trades
2822B / 1717S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~48d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$0
Vol: $0
Month
$0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-432,735
Vol: $11,843,363

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
46%
22W / 26L events
Realized PnL
$-432,735
Win Rate
46%
22W / 26L
Profit Factor
0.79x
Avg Win
$28,036
Avg Loss
$-30,027

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $350,160 (0.8091803976954652% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$169,894
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$103,968
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$76,298
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$57,626
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$55,776
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$29,726
Hurricanes vs. Blue Jackets$25,200
Jets vs. Blackhawks$23,520
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$20,842
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$17,263

Top Losers

Iran closes its airspace by May 24?$-163,332
US forces enter Iran by April 30?$-98,995
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$-83,536
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-69,698
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$-65,423
Senators vs. Panthers$-63,000
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?$-36,933
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?$-33,266
Devils vs. Rangers$-31,320
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?$-30,434

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.081
Sortino
-0.108
HHI
1211
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.028
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
19.5%
Top-5 markets
70.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
49.3
Active
Markets / Day
0.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
35s
between trades
Avg Gap
18.7m
between trades
Night Trading
24%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
7.40
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
5 min
Avg Trades / Session
29.2

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 35s — normal for humanCV 7.40 — diverse sizes (human-like)24% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock49 trades/day — high frequency0.5 markets/day — normal65% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 19:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
93.67
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)10.9%
Mid (20-55c)36.5%
High (>55c)52.6%

Sessions

#12
4/7/2026, 11:06:35 PM185 trades$998,2897 min
4/12/2026, 7:59:19 PM6 trades$574,8440 min
4/9/2026, 11:10:11 PM1 trades$499,5000 min
4/12/2026, 7:15:05 PM36 trades$448,8623 min
4/7/2026, 8:43:13 AM26 trades$428,0222 min
4/9/2026, 1:09:19 AM1 trades$414,7510 min
4/12/2026, 6:43:53 PM12 trades$399,6812 min
4/30/2026, 1:25:42 AM15 trades$342,3419 min
4/13/2026, 1:02:35 AM14 trades$256,6769 min
4/8/2026, 8:44:09 PM12 trades$230,3883 min
5/23/2026, 9:15:03 PM15 trades$230,3553 min
4/8/2026, 8:29:43 PM7 trades$207,1940 min
4/7/2026, 10:28:47 PM105 trades$191,71014 min
4/8/2026, 8:38:53 PM11 trades$184,9340 min
4/21/2026, 7:50:08 PM14 trades$164,1018 min
4/7/2026, 9:45:23 PM50 trades$161,2609 min
4/30/2026, 9:53:02 PM10 trades$147,4270 min
4/7/2026, 9:59:59 PM54 trades$139,50117 min
4/8/2026, 10:37:53 PM2 trades$139,1600 min
4/8/2026, 12:19:55 AM9 trades$129,5462 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-31
04-10
04-15
04-22
04-30
05-18
05-23
06-30

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 32 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
37.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 93.67/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L10.9 / M36.5 / H52.6