@stmat
#46,41840xb08428aef964c096ec854bc8dfdae5f883e09781
~9d· 11 markets · 309 tradesVol: $32,6692026-08-04 19:44:13
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
4
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
18% (2/11)0/20
0.14x (win $501 / loss $3,566)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -15.9120/15
Sortino -12.2360/10
$-0.5033 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1708 (11 markets)4/10
1/7 profitable days (14%)0/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($3,065 / $0)0/10
Badges
2Profitable
PnL $+2,320
Contrarian
60% entries < $0.55
Categories
3🎭 CULTURE#2,782$2,337Vol: $31,930
📢 MENTIONS#27,696$4Vol: $634
⚽ SPORTS#1,470,248$-21Vol: $105
Overview
#1Net PnL
$2,320
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$32,669
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
11
total markets
Trades
100B / 209S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~9d
Periods
#2Today
$117
Vol: $1,003
Week
$117
Vol: $1,003
Month
$137
Vol: $1,003
All Time
$2,320
Vol: $32,669
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
18%
2W / 9L events
Realized PnL
$2,320
Win Rate
18%
2W / 9L
Profit Factor
0.14x
Avg Win
$250
Avg Loss
$-396
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $501 (0.21578895195734907% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 20 million views on day 1?$432
Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?$69
Top Losers
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 40 million views on week 1?$-1,378
Will MrBeast's next video get 64 million or more views in week 1?$-646
Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 50 million views on week 1?$-567
Will MrBeast's next video get between 63.5 and 64 million views in week 1?$-374
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?$-280
Will MrBeast's next video get between 20 and 25 million views on day 1?$-208
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-83
Will MrBeast hit 510 million subscribers by July 31?$-24
Will MrBeast's next video get 50 million or more views on day 1?$-6
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.771
Sortino
-0.766
HHI
2698
Concentrated
EV per $1
$-0.502
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
41.9%
Top-5 markets
88.6%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
5.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
20/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
23:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
51.0m
between trades
Night Trading
24%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.86
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
47
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.6
Bot Detection
#610
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 192s — normal for humanCV 2.86 — diverse sizes (human-like)24% night trades — unusual hours20/24 hours — extended activity6 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal32% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 23:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
28.27
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)19%
Mid (20-55c)41%
High (>55c)40%
Sessions
#127/26/2026, 3:11:25 PM8 trades$1,6973 min
7/25/2026, 4:44:34 PM15 trades$74111 min
6/6/2026, 4:07:43 AM18 trades$6803 min
7/25/2026, 4:00:31 PM10 trades$6450 min
6/6/2026, 5:25:15 AM23 trades$6003 min
7/28/2026, 7:29:34 PM8 trades$5740 min
7/25/2026, 11:59:52 AM3 trades$5000 min
7/18/2026, 4:08:31 PM6 trades$4910 min
7/25/2026, 11:09:03 PM23 trades$43320 min
7/25/2026, 4:22:10 PM6 trades$3161 min
7/29/2026, 12:42:51 PM2 trades$3140 min
7/28/2026, 10:32:56 AM6 trades$2990 min
6/6/2026, 12:09:51 PM4 trades$2750 min
7/28/2026, 11:12:56 AM5 trades$2470 min
6/6/2026, 6:48:18 AM8 trades$2290 min
7/26/2026, 6:15:52 AM4 trades$2070 min
7/28/2026, 2:04:15 AM5 trades$2070 min
7/29/2026, 8:41:24 AM3 trades$2060 min
7/28/2026, 7:37:10 PM6 trades$2030 min
7/21/2026, 4:36:58 PM2 trades$2000 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-06
07-15
07-21
07-25
07-26
07-29
07-30
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
67.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 28.27/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L19 / M41 / H40