@szkalaito

#3,025,63530

0x422719e50f778db727ebec6400fd4d7dc9081eea

~182d· 294 markets · 717 tradesVol: $193,2892026-08-04 17:35:45
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

30
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

57% (164/290)13.3/20
0.57x (win $4,423 / loss $7,741)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.4230/15
Sortino -2.5360/10
$-0.0352 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 112 (290 markets)10/10
83/151 profitable days (55%)6.2/10
Max DD 37590% of peak ($3,639 / $10)0/10

Badges

3
Whale
$94,300 invested
Win Streak
8 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
₿ CRYPTO#1,634,720$-1,480Vol: $55,445
🏛️ POLITICS#1,586,675$-361Vol: $51,860
⚽ SPORTS#1,823,267$-923Vol: $31,095
💰 FINANCE#651,710$-633Vol: $23,857
📈 ECONOMICS#432,633$-1Vol: $19,535
📢 MENTIONS#4,022$199Vol: $3,879
🎭 CULTURE#38,253$33Vol: $3,701
💻 TECH#230,665$-13Vol: $667
🌤️ WEATHER#69,194$0Vol: $20

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-3,175
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$193,289
Total Redeem
$30
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
294
total markets
Trades
472B / 245S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~182d

Periods

#2
Today
$8
Vol: $0
Week
$19
Vol: $861
Month
$9
Vol: $861
All Time
$-3,175
Vol: $193,289

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
57%
164W / 126L events
Realized PnL
$-3,175
Win Rate
57%
164W / 126L
Profit Factor
0.57x
Avg Win
$27
Avg Loss
$-66

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $752 (0.23689183400942326% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?$364
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?$247
Will Ethereum dip to $4200 September 1–7?$140
Will JD Vance say "King" or "Dear Friend" during his remarks to US troops in UK on August 13?$138
Will Trump say "TikTok" during events with Turkish president on September 25?$138
Will Trump say "Peace" 10+ times during address to UN General Assembly on September 23?$135
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?$113
Will Ethereum dip to $4100 September 8–14?$105
Will Bitcoin dip to $108K September 8–14?$105
Sentient FDV above $1B one day after launch?$104

Top Losers

Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?$-873
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 5PM ET$-469
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$-403
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?$-400
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 September 29-October 5?$-300
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-11-05?$-296
Will Metaplanet hold 20k+ BTC by August 31?$-284
Will MicroStrategy hold 620k+ BTC before August?$-250
Will Barcelona win on 2025-10-05?$-241
Will Bitcoin dip to $108,000 October 27-November 2?$-200

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.126
Sortino
-0.094
HHI
105
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.035
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
1.9%
Top-5 markets
8.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
5.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.7h
between trades
Night Trading
5%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.83
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.2

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 312s — normal for humanCV 1.83 — diverse sizes (human-like)5% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock1 trades/day — normal0.5 markets/day — normal41% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 19:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.54
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)5.3%
Mid (20-55c)38.6%
High (>55c)56.1%

Sessions

#12
12/7/2024, 1:37:29 PM5 trades$4,4194 min
12/8/2024, 11:14:35 PM2 trades$2,8102 min
2/11/2025, 9:35:57 PM2 trades$2,7951 min
2/13/2025, 9:25:34 PM2 trades$2,7921 min
2/6/2025, 4:47:57 PM2 trades$2,7691 min
2/5/2025, 10:20:06 PM2 trades$2,7241 min
1/3/2025, 8:58:55 PM2 trades$2,6841 min
1/27/2025, 8:39:04 PM2 trades$2,6391 min
1/26/2025, 10:20:07 PM2 trades$2,6181 min
1/23/2025, 11:39:03 AM2 trades$2,5821 min
12/3/2024, 10:38:06 PM2 trades$2,5051 min
12/5/2024, 8:47:23 PM8 trades$2,4596 min
3/17/2025, 9:28:33 PM2 trades$2,4305 min
3/18/2025, 6:47:55 PM5 trades$2,3916 min
3/20/2025, 6:38:45 PM2 trades$2,2115 min
2/21/2025, 3:15:02 PM2 trades$1,8862 min
2/23/2025, 9:31:16 PM5 trades$1,8575 min
12/1/2024, 11:47:44 AM2 trades$1,5004 min
12/11/2024, 10:08:35 PM3 trades$1,4663 min
12/4/2024, 10:00:19 PM1 trades$1,4500 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-01
02-13
07-09
09-11
11-15
03-31
07-26

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 450 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
34.2% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.54/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L5.3 / M38.6 / H56.1