@tailwagger
#125,669780xbdd1405f1b85e17c0a79faa2b23192aaf2a4eddb
~17d· 21 markets · 135 tradesVol: $9,4062026-08-05 02:44:13
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
78
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
86% (12/14)20/20
22.93x (win $675 / loss $29)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 17.50315/15
Sortino 0.0000/10
$+0.0828 per $1 invested4.1/10
HHI 1786 (14 markets)3.6/10
7/7 profitable days (100%)10/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($0 / $646)10/10
Badges
6Sniper
Win rate 86%
Profitable
PnL $+416
DCA Master
Avg 5.9 entries/market
Consistent
7/7 profitable days
Cool Head
Max DD 0%
Win Streak
12 wins in a row
Categories
6🏛️ POLITICS#48,866$169Vol: $5,118
💰 FINANCE#46,654$15Vol: $1,247
🎭 CULTURE#25,083$72Vol: $797
₿ CRYPTO#107,842$77Vol: $545
⚽ SPORTS#1,705,543$-127Vol: $467
💻 TECH#31,279$3Vol: $100
Overview
#1Net PnL
$416
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$9,406
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
21
total markets
Trades
58B / 77S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~17d
Periods
#2Week
$23
Vol: $0
Month
$-47
Vol: $0
All Time
$416
Vol: $9,406
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
86%
12W / 2L events
Realized PnL
$416
Win Rate
86%
12W / 2L
Profit Factor
22.93x
Avg Win
$56
Avg Loss
$-29
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $541 (1.3001345248390508% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will xQc beat Forsen's Minecraft speedrun record by June 30, 2026?$269
Will xQc beat Forsen's Minecraft speedrun record by May 31, 2026?$209
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?$63
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?$37
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$23
Aaron Taylor-Johnson announced as next James Bond?$19
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?$19
Jacob Elordi announced as next James Bond?$16
Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?$9
Meek Mill gets Y Combinator funding by June 30?$5
Top Losers
Will Bob Menery enter the ring against Johnny Manziel?$-29
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.848
Sortino
inf
HHI
997
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.119
Kelly %
60.6%
Half-Kelly
30.3%
Top-1 market
28%
Top-5 markets
53.5%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
2.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
19/24
Extended
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.3h
between trades
Avg Gap
4.8h
between trades
Night Trading
2%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.40
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.7
Bot Detection
#65
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 4553s — normal for humanCV 1.40 — diverse sizes (human-like)2% night trades — normal pattern19/24 hours — extended activity2 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal43% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 19:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
5.93
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)1.7%
Mid (20-55c)12.1%
High (>55c)86.2%
Sessions
#125/14/2026, 3:34:19 PM7 trades$9280 min
6/16/2026, 11:28:48 AM2 trades$9200 min
6/15/2026, 6:24:07 PM1 trades$9080 min
5/18/2026, 7:21:30 PM17 trades$7685 min
5/19/2026, 4:46:30 PM3 trades$7300 min
5/15/2026, 9:15:14 PM9 trades$6001 min
6/15/2026, 1:23:40 PM1 trades$5780 min
5/18/2026, 11:41:06 AM8 trades$4710 min
5/19/2026, 4:35:25 PM5 trades$3740 min
5/15/2026, 1:10:25 PM5 trades$3360 min
5/16/2026, 2:31:12 PM2 trades$3300 min
5/19/2026, 3:28:06 PM7 trades$3230 min
5/19/2026, 4:52:43 PM2 trades$2930 min
5/18/2026, 4:32:41 PM1 trades$2840 min
5/22/2026, 7:21:48 PM1 trades$2480 min
5/14/2026, 5:55:57 PM9 trades$2292 min
5/16/2026, 12:14:30 PM2 trades$2240 min
7/3/2026, 5:01:47 PM4 trades$2000 min
5/18/2026, 10:11:48 AM1 trades$1810 min
5/22/2026, 3:07:08 AM1 trades$1560 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-14
05-15
05-18
05-19
05-23
06-02
06-15
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
57% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.93/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L1.7 / M12.1 / H86.2