@tencream397whythis

#2,684,70240

0x2d276616994220e87ea1f47ac43bc4aec8ae7b54

~56d· 113 markets · 121 tradesVol: $5,0842026-08-04 15:54:25
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

40
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

96% (108/112)20/20
0.19x (win $42 / loss $220)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.5750/15
Sortino -3.5180/10
$-0.0354 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 97 (112 markets)10/10
53/56 profitable days (95%)10/10
Max DD 1847% of peak ($196 / $11)0/10

Badges

4
Sniper
Win rate 96%
Diamond Hands
0% sells
Consistent
53/56 profitable days
Win Streak
31 wins in a row

Categories

7
CRYPTO#1,462,462$-97Vol: $2,764
🎭 CULTURE#89,020$5Vol: $665
🏛️ POLITICS#1,515,286$-97Vol: $435
💰 FINANCE#87,897$3Vol: $413
🌤️ WEATHER#36,295$3Vol: $393
SPORTS#422,346$1Vol: $111
📈 ECONOMICS#138,210$1Vol: $101

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-178
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$5,084
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
113
total markets
Trades
121B / 0S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~56d

Periods

#2
Today
$1
Vol: $0
Week
$1
Vol: $0
Month
$5
Vol: $0
All Time
$-178
Vol: $5,084

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
96%
108W / 4L events
Realized PnL
$-178
Win Rate
96%
108W / 4L
Profit Factor
0.19x
Avg Win
$0
Avg Loss
$-55

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $3 (0.016781725318516027% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will there be 14 or more inches of snow in NYC this weekend?$1
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 16?$1
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on February 12?$1
Will the price of Solana be between $140 and $150 on January 18?$1
Will the price of XRP be above $2.00 on January 28?$1
Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 January 12-18?$1
Will The Voice of Hind Rajab win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?$1
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 8?$1
Will Rashid Shaheed win the Super Bowl LX MVP?$1
Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on February 5?$1

Top Losers

Will Solana dip to $130 January 12-18?$-70
US strikes Iraq by February 28?$-50
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on January 29?$-50
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$-50

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.185
Sortino
-0.125
HHI
97
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.035
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2%
Top-5 markets
7.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.2
Active Hours
21/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
23:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.0h
between trades
Avg Gap
7.2h
between trades
Night Trading
12%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.33
Moderate
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.6

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
MEDIUM
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 14542s — normal for humanCV 0.33 — uniform order sizes12% night trades — normal pattern21/24 hours — extended activity1 trades/day — normal1.2 markets/day — normal4% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 23:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.07
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)100%

Sessions

#12
2/27/2026, 10:59:51 PM3 trades$1500 min
2/8/2026, 5:11:15 PM3 trades$1500 min
1/18/2026, 1:15:50 PM2 trades$1400 min
1/18/2026, 11:59:32 PM2 trades$1400 min
2/27/2026, 3:37:47 PM2 trades$1000 min
2/26/2026, 3:50:18 PM2 trades$1000 min
1/20/2026, 8:06:08 AM2 trades$1000 min
1/25/2026, 9:48:12 PM3 trades$1000 min
2/3/2026, 5:50:18 AM2 trades$1000 min
2/22/2026, 10:02:34 PM2 trades$1000 min
3/16/2026, 5:56:55 PM2 trades$1000 min
3/8/2026, 12:40:55 PM2 trades$1000 min
3/12/2026, 8:10:01 PM2 trades$1000 min
3/14/2026, 9:22:19 PM2 trades$1000 min
1/5/2026, 7:17:07 AM2 trades$800 min
1/7/2026, 8:56:05 AM2 trades$800 min
1/10/2026, 1:01:36 PM2 trades$800 min
1/11/2026, 11:51:04 PM2 trades$800 min
1/15/2026, 7:35:30 AM2 trades$800 min
1/16/2026, 11:11:34 AM2 trades$800 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-14
12-29
01-13
01-25
02-07
02-26
03-14

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 41 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
4% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.07/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0 / M0 / H100