@theodicyyy

#2,741,87126

0xef0b4d3adbff38cc8be503b49d01db0bdca210f5

~40d· 66 markets · 207 tradesVol: $7,4302026-08-04 19:43:54
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

26
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

53% (29/55)11.4/20
0.69x (win $454 / loss $662)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.5570/15
Sortino -4.9790/10
$-0.0668 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 481 (55 markets)10/10
12/25 profitable days (48%)4.5/10
Max DD 959% of peak ($308 / $32)0/10

Badges

3
Contrarian
50% entries < $0.55
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

7
⚽ SPORTS#1,739,776$-196Vol: $3,787
📈 ECONOMICS#658,282$-95Vol: $3,021
🏛️ POLITICS#157,720$13Vol: $221
💰 FINANCE#80,925$4Vol: $143
💻 TECH#11,336$28Vol: $128
🌤️ WEATHER#27,638$6Vol: $106
🎭 CULTURE#117,553$2Vol: $22

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-239
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$7,430
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
66
total markets
Trades
131B / 76S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~40d

Periods

#2
Today
$16
Vol: $0
Week
$14
Vol: $0
Month
$13
Vol: $0
All Time
$-239
Vol: $7,430

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
53%
29W / 26L events
Realized PnL
$-239
Win Rate
53%
29W / 26L
Profit Factor
0.69x
Avg Win
$16
Avg Loss
$-28

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $123 (0.5161006289308177% of PnL)

Top Winners

Exact Score: Any Other Score?$55
Celtics vs. Kings$39
Miami vs. Indiana$29
Grok 4.20 released by January 15?$28
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?$27
Thunder vs. Raptors$27
Raptors vs. Lakers$25
Central Connecticut State Blue Devils vs. Mercyhurst Lakers: O/U 132.5$24
Spread: Seahawks (-7.5)$22
Spread: Nuggets (-5.5)$18

Top Losers

Spread: Grizzlies (-7.5)$-71
Ravens vs. Steelers$-70
Will Charles Leclerc get pole position at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?$-60
Como 1907 vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 2.5$-50
Blackhawks vs. Hurricanes$-50
Maple Leafs vs. Islanders$-40
Spread: Cavaliers (-13.5)$-40
Timberwolves vs. Jazz$-35
Texans vs. Patriots$-30
Rams vs. Bears$-24

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.234
Sortino
-0.259
HHI
255
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.091
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
9.7%
Top-5 markets
27.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
2:00 UTC
Median Gap
50.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
4.0h
between trades
Night Trading
33%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.31
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.8

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 3032s — normal for humanCV 1.31 — diverse sizes (human-like)33% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock1 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal33% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 2:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.91
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)14.5%
Mid (20-55c)35.9%
High (>55c)49.6%

Sessions

#12
7/30/2026, 2:06:45 AM16 trades$3960 min
1/21/2026, 4:18:16 AM2 trades$2462 min
5/31/2026, 4:18:30 PM2 trades$2000 min
5/31/2026, 4:10:17 PM9 trades$2003 min
7/9/2026, 3:42:59 AM5 trades$1590 min
1/3/2026, 2:39:59 PM2 trades$1304 min
1/2/2026, 3:50:23 AM2 trades$1214 min
1/18/2026, 3:49:18 PM3 trades$1201 min
1/2/2026, 3:14:01 PM1 trades$1000 min
1/20/2026, 1:52:08 AM1 trades$1000 min
7/17/2026, 7:38:16 AM2 trades$1000 min
7/6/2026, 8:45:31 AM9 trades$990 min
1/19/2026, 12:57:34 AM2 trades$931 min
1/17/2026, 3:38:16 AM3 trades$902 min
1/22/2026, 7:16:58 PM3 trades$903 min
1/20/2026, 2:09:14 AM1 trades$850 min
7/14/2026, 7:52:17 PM2 trades$710 min
1/19/2026, 6:53:08 PM3 trades$704 min
7/10/2026, 8:27:17 PM9 trades$670 min
7/18/2026, 11:04:31 PM2 trades$660 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-30
01-04
01-15
01-20
01-30
06-05
07-18

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 154 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
2% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
36.7% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.91/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L14.5 / M35.9 / H49.6