@theone-046

#2,775,5828

0xbd263627f1c31ee65d8e270ddd3dffb9e7510197

~46d· 62 markets · 200 tradesVol: $33,308 @i0xtop2026-08-04 20:40:25
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

8
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

32% (19/60)0.8/20
0.34x (win $465 / loss $1,378)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -6.1630/15
Sortino -6.0120/10
$-0.4960 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1311 (60 markets)5.9/10
10/28 profitable days (36%)1.4/10
Max DD 14080% of peak ($919 / $7)0/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
37% entries < $0.20

Categories

5
SPORTS#1,751,735$-235Vol: $32,475
CRYPTO#1,406,878$-58Vol: $617
🏛️ POLITICS#306,231$1Vol: $120
💰 FINANCE#379,494$-0Vol: $1
🎭 CULTURE#212,156$0Vol: $0

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-292
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$33,308
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
62
total markets
Trades
112B / 88S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~46d

Periods

#2
Today
$-6
Vol: $0
Week
$-6
Vol: $0
Month
$-8
Vol: $0
All Time
$-292
Vol: $33,308

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
32%
19W / 41L events
Realized PnL
$-287
Win Rate
32%
19W / 41L
Profit Factor
0.34x
Avg Win
$24
Avg Loss
$-48

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $197 (0.6883325197015134% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?$73
Will France win on 2026-06-16?$66
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw?$58
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?$43
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?$36
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?$36
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?$34
Will Colombia vs. Portugal end in a draw?$32
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?$23
Will Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?$23

Top Losers

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-493
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$-234
Will Lionel Messi score 9+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-80
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?$-62
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?$-60
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?$-60
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?$-59
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?$-51
Spread: Spain (-2.5)$-43
Infinex FDV above $300M one day after launch?$-39

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.317
Sortino
-0.273
HHI
2474
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.353
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
45.9%
Top-5 markets
75.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
19/24
Extended
Peak Hour
1:00 UTC
Median Gap
44.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
4.2h
between trades
Night Trading
60%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.08
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.6

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 2690s — normal for humanCV 1.08 — diverse sizes (human-like)60% night trades — never sleeps19/24 hours — extended activity0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal52% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 1:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.77
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)36.6%
Mid (20-55c)27.7%
High (>55c)35.7%

Sessions

#12
5/24/2026, 1:13:22 AM10 trades$2580 min
7/4/2026, 2:02:23 AM2 trades$2000 min
7/16/2026, 1:07:44 AM2 trades$1800 min
6/23/2026, 1:24:29 AM4 trades$1101 min
6/28/2026, 8:16:02 AM2 trades$1100 min
7/19/2026, 2:21:48 AM2 trades$1050 min
6/23/2026, 3:12:13 AM4 trades$1001 min
6/21/2026, 10:21:14 AM6 trades$956 min
7/6/2026, 9:36:44 AM2 trades$770 min
6/21/2026, 11:12:46 AM1 trades$700 min
6/16/2026, 11:54:21 AM2 trades$690 min
5/25/2026, 3:12:26 AM2 trades$660 min
6/12/2026, 1:31:33 AM4 trades$611 min
6/15/2026, 10:53:57 PM4 trades$603 min
6/19/2026, 6:50:04 AM2 trades$600 min
7/4/2026, 11:09:16 PM2 trades$560 min
6/29/2026, 1:10:46 AM4 trades$540 min
6/13/2026, 3:31:19 AM2 trades$500 min
6/19/2026, 1:28:38 PM2 trades$500 min
6/20/2026, 11:48:17 PM2 trades$500 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-13
11-07
03-23
06-13
06-18
06-23
07-04

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 254 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
44% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.77/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L36.6 / M27.7 / H35.7