@thereisabubble
#40,601640x97208eb99f979d521e185767e903af3798c29aeb
~152d· 288 markets · 2657 tradesVol: $884,0352026-08-05 17:27:50
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
64
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
41% (117/288)5.3/20
1.58x (win $4,517 / loss $2,864)9.7/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.37315/15
Sortino 6.81810/10
$+0.1257 per $1 invested6.3/10
HHI 293 (288 markets)10/10
52/125 profitable days (42%)2.9/10
Max DD 46% of peak ($1,403 / $3,056)4.8/10
Badges
4Profitable
PnL $+2,757
Lottery Player
76% entries < $0.20
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
5🎭 CULTURE#2,532$2,709Vol: $878,678
⚽ SPORTS#265,151$12Vol: $3,229
🏛️ POLITICS#99,980$40Vol: $1,763
💻 TECH#164,203$-0Vol: $345
₿ CRYPTO#1,044,549$-5Vol: $20
Overview
#1Net PnL
$2,757
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$884,035
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
288
total markets
Trades
1024B / 1633S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~152d
Periods
#2Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$-0
Vol: $0
Month
$-0
Vol: $0
All Time
$2,757
Vol: $884,035
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
41%
117W / 171L events
Realized PnL
$2,757
Win Rate
41%
117W / 171L
Profit Factor
1.58x
Avg Win
$39
Avg Loss
$-17
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,503 (0.5452068709074749% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?$896
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?$319
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026?$288
Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from March 31 to April 7, 2026?$163
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?$149
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 12 to February 14, 2026?$117
Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?$105
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026?$95
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?$91
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?$86
Top Losers
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?$-139
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$-134
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$-113
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$-98
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?$-96
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$-81
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?$-74
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$-70
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?$-66
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$-64
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.124
Sortino
0.356
HHI
186
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.126
Kelly %
1.7%
Half-Kelly
0.9%
Top-1 market
7.4%
Top-5 markets
25.5%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
13.5
Active
Markets / Day
1.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
28.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.3h
between trades
Night Trading
7%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.03
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
9.6
Bot Detection
#620
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1694s — normal for humanCV 3.03 — diverse sizes (human-like)7% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock13 trades/day — very active1.5 markets/day — normal29% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 15:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
9.23
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)75.9%
Mid (20-55c)6.8%
High (>55c)17.3%
Sessions
#126/20/2026, 10:45:53 AM3 trades$6,6150 min
4/22/2026, 9:42:32 PM17 trades$6,3310 min
5/13/2026, 6:30:03 PM2 trades$5,0000 min
5/15/2026, 11:33:18 AM2 trades$5,0000 min
5/9/2026, 10:22:42 AM2 trades$3,3400 min
5/13/2026, 8:02:23 AM5 trades$2,8210 min
6/4/2026, 4:51:45 PM13 trades$2,6090 min
5/13/2026, 8:28:56 AM20 trades$2,3980 min
6/13/2026, 6:12:19 PM8 trades$2,2710 min
5/16/2026, 4:07:11 PM2 trades$2,0200 min
7/14/2026, 5:55:13 PM4 trades$2,0020 min
5/13/2026, 7:30:03 AM16 trades$1,8804 min
4/28/2026, 4:55:14 PM7 trades$1,8604 min
7/11/2026, 5:37:34 PM12 trades$1,7250 min
6/24/2026, 8:25:32 PM10 trades$1,6640 min
4/28/2026, 8:21:32 PM5 trades$1,5700 min
5/5/2026, 10:12:00 AM6 trades$1,3980 min
5/11/2026, 8:04:42 PM11 trades$1,3320 min
6/12/2026, 2:21:04 PM21 trades$1,3103 min
3/3/2026, 4:32:17 PM4 trades$1,0599 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-06
01-28
02-21
03-15
04-08
05-19
06-30
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 84 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
61.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 9.23/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L75.9 / M6.8 / H17.3