@tmfcosta
#87,315330x26cb4ff347e75f0f9e5b9b699e9d727006b23e56
~262d· 486 markets · 5990 tradesVol: $265,8222026-08-04 23:03:56
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
33
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
60% (274/454)15.2/20
0.92x (win $3,161 / loss $3,427)1.5/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.3090/15
Sortino -0.5000/10
$-0.0251 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 102 (454 markets)10/10
90/167 profitable days (54%)6/10
Max DD 185% of peak ($2,344 / $1,268)0/10
Badges
7Sniper
Win rate 60%
Profitable
PnL $+880
Lottery Player
67% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 14.6 entries/market
Win Streak
14 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
91% maker orders
Categories
6⚽ SPORTS#127,479$90Vol: $163,538
🎭 CULTURE#27,717$60Vol: $64,771
🏛️ POLITICS#21,781$739Vol: $36,584
📈 ECONOMICS#615,076$-14Vol: $440
💻 TECH#44,438$1Vol: $420
₿ CRYPTO#322,091$3Vol: $70
Overview
#1Net PnL
$880
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$265,822
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
486
total markets
Trades
4114B / 1876S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~262d
Periods
#2Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$-0
Vol: $20
Month
$5
Vol: $70
All Time
$880
Vol: $265,822
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
60%
274W / 180L events
Realized PnL
$880
Win Rate
60%
274W / 180L
Profit Factor
0.92x
Avg Win
$12
Avg Loss
$-20
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,275 (1.4491141139434718% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will England score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$715
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$338
Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?$221
Will António José Seguro win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$169
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$122
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?$116
Will Sporting CP advance to the round of 16?$83
Will Juventus finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Serie A season?$80
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?$69
Will Benfica finish 2nd in the Primeira Liga for the 2025-26 season?$68
Top Losers
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-519
Will Portugal score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-262
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-258
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-244
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-211
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-188
Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-114
Will Argentina score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-80
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-78
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-76
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.016
Sortino
-0.019
HHI
128
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.022
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
5.1%
Top-5 markets
15.7%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
14.8
Active
Markets / Day
1.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
15.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.2h
between trades
Night Trading
16%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.92
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.5
Bot Detection
#640
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 908s — normal for humanCV 1.92 — diverse sizes (human-like)16% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock15 trades/day — very active1.2 markets/day — normal91% maker — systematic market making
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 20:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
14.59
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)66.6%
Mid (20-55c)12.4%
High (>55c)21%
Sessions
#1212/10/2025, 6:34:08 PM8 trades$1542 min
1/18/2026, 8:06:50 PM9 trades$1537 min
7/4/2025, 9:40:17 AM3 trades$1385 min
1/3/2026, 6:20:27 PM12 trades$12917 min
1/20/2026, 4:39:52 PM2 trades$1210 min
12/7/2025, 12:54:39 PM7 trades$1126 min
6/10/2026, 6:05:57 PM8 trades$1096 min
6/13/2026, 11:07:04 PM6 trades$1083 min
1/18/2026, 8:56:24 PM2 trades$1062 min
11/30/2025, 12:27:00 AM4 trades$1020 min
11/29/2025, 8:35:55 AM5 trades$941 min
12/11/2025, 8:09:39 PM12 trades$937 min
12/10/2025, 9:52:02 AM2 trades$900 min
12/4/2025, 8:37:55 AM3 trades$880 min
1/5/2026, 8:29:55 PM11 trades$828 min
7/13/2026, 8:58:31 PM5 trades$800 min
11/29/2025, 4:36:19 PM4 trades$780 min
12/5/2025, 1:08:19 AM10 trades$761 min
11/29/2025, 10:43:11 AM5 trades$751 min
12/10/2025, 12:14:51 PM6 trades$712 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-24
11-30
12-31
02-03
04-25
06-03
07-10
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 38 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
31.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 14.59/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L66.6 / M12.4 / H21