@tobearichman

#102,31791

0xa1348cb7ac90174bdf92ab42de4f70a9770a8466

~66d· 61 markets · 246 tradesVol: $45,0002026-08-04 19:09:56
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

91
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

98% (58/59)20/20
30.43x (win $618 / loss $20)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 12.43915/15
Sortino 84.76410/10
$+0.0215 per $1 invested1.1/10
HHI 398 (59 markets)10/10
43/44 profitable days (98%)10/10
Max DD 3% of peak ($20 / $597)10/10

Badges

6
Sniper
Win rate 98%
Profitable
PnL $+651
Consistent
43/44 profitable days
Cool Head
Max DD 3%
Win Streak
50 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

6
₿ CRYPTO#45,229$455Vol: $30,105
📈 ECONOMICS#13,209$91Vol: $7,675
🏛️ POLITICS#97,830$42Vol: $3,674
💰 FINANCE#573,881$-10Vol: $1,709
⚽ SPORTS#141,182$72Vol: $1,140
🎭 CULTURE#145,118$1Vol: $656

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$651
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$45,000
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
61
total markets
Trades
83B / 163S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~66d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$-1
Vol: $0
Month
$-2
Vol: $0
All Time
$651
Vol: $45,000

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
98%
58W / 1L events
Realized PnL
$651
Win Rate
98%
58W / 1L
Profit Factor
30.43x
Avg Win
$11
Avg Loss
$-20

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $211 (0.32452934492183905% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Zcash hit $1000 by December 31?$96
Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?$68
Will Phantom launch a token by June 30, 2026?$48
Will Bitcoin reach $118,000 September 22-28?$45
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?$43
Will Bitcoin dip to $108,000 September 22-28?$32
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$32
Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?$31
Meteora FDV above $500M one day after launch?$23
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?$22

Top Losers

Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?$-20

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.644
Sortino
inf
HHI
563
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.020
Kelly %
91.8%
Half-Kelly
45.9%
Top-1 market
14%
Top-5 markets
41.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
1:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.5h
between trades
Night Trading
37%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.71
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.3

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 182s — normal for humanCV 1.71 — diverse sizes (human-like)37% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock1 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal64% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 1:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.46
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)1.2%
Mid (20-55c)2.4%
High (>55c)96.4%

Sessions

#12
10/14/2025, 10:51:29 PM2 trades$4,1020 min
10/14/2025, 2:22:31 PM1 trades$3,3870 min
10/13/2025, 1:07:59 AM3 trades$1,2441 min
7/7/2026, 1:06:28 AM12 trades$1,0741 min
3/3/2026, 11:37:57 PM4 trades$1,0645 min
3/5/2026, 4:28:39 AM3 trades$8540 min
3/7/2026, 5:50:49 AM3 trades$8540 min
2/25/2026, 3:54:24 PM5 trades$8242 min
2/23/2026, 7:04:20 AM1 trades$8240 min
2/7/2026, 2:58:25 AM3 trades$8120 min
2/9/2026, 3:26:09 PM2 trades$8120 min
2/3/2026, 12:49:38 AM1 trades$8040 min
11/4/2025, 8:17:01 AM2 trades$7632 min
11/2/2025, 1:05:45 AM1 trades$7610 min
10/25/2025, 3:04:03 PM1 trades$7530 min
10/21/2025, 1:41:33 PM1 trades$7290 min
10/16/2025, 6:28:43 AM1 trades$7260 min
10/14/2025, 12:40:29 AM1 trades$7070 min
1/28/2026, 4:57:24 PM1 trades$7040 min
1/13/2026, 2:17:19 PM1 trades$6720 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
09-25
10-14
11-24
01-06
02-28
04-20
06-24

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 2 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
66.3% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.46/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L1.2 / M2.4 / H96.4