@tobolg

#94,45576

0x8d2aa5e083db6d74f734a9f39936b109eb0ca437

~32d· 25 markets · 50 tradesVol: $11,5962026-08-04 23:02:32
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

76
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

82% (14/17)20/20
1.39x (win $2,741 / loss $1,977)7.3/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.95815/15
Sortino 3.09510/10
$+0.1242 per $1 invested6.2/10
HHI 977 (17 markets)7.6/10
13/16 profitable days (81%)10/10
Max DD 86% of peak ($882 / $1,027)0/10

Badges

6
Sniper
Win rate 82%
Profitable
PnL $+752
Diamond Hands
2% sells
Consistent
13/16 profitable days
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🏗️Market Maker
88% maker orders

Categories

7
⚽ SPORTS#45,034$748Vol: $10,722
🏛️ POLITICS#424,774$0Vol: $348
₿ CRYPTO#545,809$0Vol: $192
📈 ECONOMICS#70,333$3Vol: $144
💻 TECH#106,472$0Vol: $90
🎭 CULTURE#488,899$-1Vol: $57
💰 FINANCE#211,900$0Vol: $43

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$752
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$11,596
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
25
total markets
Trades
49B / 1S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~32d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$0
Vol: $0
Month
$1
Vol: $0
All Time
$752
Vol: $11,596

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
82%
14W / 3L events
Realized PnL
$752
Win Rate
82%
14W / 3L
Profit Factor
1.39x
Avg Win
$196
Avg Loss
$-659

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,034 (2.7057078627771793% of PnL)

Top Winners

Guardians vs. Astros$1,254
Stars vs. Oilers$400
Dodgers vs. Reds$380
Pirates vs. Brewers$377
Mariners vs. Phillies$314
Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?$4
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the June Meeting?$3
100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?$2
Will OpenSea launch a token by June 30, 2026?$2
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in June?$2

Top Losers

Padres vs. Marlins$-882
White Sox vs. Cubs$-627
Padres vs. Dodgers$-468

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.099
Sortino
0.229
HHI
876
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.132
Kelly %
57.7%
Half-Kelly
28.8%
Top-1 market
14.3%
Top-5 markets
56.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
19/24
Extended
Peak Hour
4:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.6h
between trades
Avg Gap
5.4h
between trades
Night Trading
26%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.71
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
43
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.2

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 5921s — normal for humanCV 1.71 — diverse sizes (human-like)26% night trades — never sleeps19/24 hours — extended activity0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal88% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 4:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.06
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)10.2%
High (>55c)89.8%

Sessions

#12
7/23/2025, 7:29:49 AM1 trades$8820 min
8/11/2025, 1:14:56 PM1 trades$7000 min
7/8/2025, 8:34:23 AM2 trades$6460 min
5/16/2025, 4:26:56 AM2 trades$6270 min
5/27/2025, 11:11:49 AM1 trades$6000 min
7/29/2025, 8:18:29 AM1 trades$5470 min
8/19/2025, 8:18:32 AM1 trades$5120 min
8/15/2025, 10:24:34 AM1 trades$4680 min
6/28/2026, 8:27:58 PM1 trades$560 min
6/19/2026, 10:29:01 AM1 trades$510 min
6/17/2026, 1:42:05 PM1 trades$510 min
6/9/2026, 3:29:28 PM1 trades$500 min
7/13/2026, 7:20:40 AM1 trades$500 min
7/29/2026, 1:19:14 AM1 trades$500 min
6/15/2026, 4:58:06 AM1 trades$490 min
6/17/2026, 4:56:23 AM1 trades$490 min
7/10/2026, 2:09:22 PM1 trades$490 min
6/19/2026, 2:07:08 PM1 trades$490 min
5/22/2026, 1:24:46 PM2 trades$482 min
5/27/2026, 10:17:45 PM1 trades$440 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-16
07-08
07-29
08-15
03-17
05-26
06-01
06-19

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 15 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
2% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.06/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0 / M10.2 / H89.8