@tolicien
#2,853,470570xe1446165e273806bac19be501862dbd8ef2efa7c
~23d· 44 markets · 155 tradesVol: $34,0572026-08-06 07:54:14
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
57
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
42% (16/38)6.1/20
1.29x (win $1,876 / loss $1,457)6.1/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.08215/15
Sortino 2.87610/10
$+0.0966 per $1 invested4.8/10
HHI 851 (38 markets)8.2/10
10/20 profitable days (50%)5/10
Max DD 63% of peak ($656 / $1,037)1.3/10
Badges
1Contrarian
76% entries < $0.55
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-506
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$34,057
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
44
total markets
Trades
51B / 104S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~23d
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
42%
16W / 22L events
Realized PnL
$-506
Win Rate
42%
16W / 22L
Profit Factor
1.29x
Avg Win
$117
Avg Loss
$-69
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $740 (1.4638286087317758% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will France win on 2026-07-09?$392
Will France win on 2026-06-16?$188
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?$160
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?$144
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?$133
Switzerland vs. Canada: O/U 2.5$133
Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 3.5$121
Will France win on 2026-07-04?$94
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?$91
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?$75
Top Losers
Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5$-300
Norway vs. England: Team to Advance$-176
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?$-150
Will England win on 2026-06-23?$-150
Norway vs. England: O/U 3.5$-100
Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 2.5$-100
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-25?$-100
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance$-80
Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?$-40
Will Norway vs. France end in a draw?$-40
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.106
Sortino
0.125
HHI
521
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.147
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
18%
Top-5 markets
38.8%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
2.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.6
Active Hours
14/24
Extended
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
13.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
5.1h
between trades
Night Trading
13%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.81
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
35
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.4
Bot Detection
#60
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 824s — normal for humanCV 1.81 — diverse sizes (human-like)13% night trades — normal pattern14/24 hours — normal schedule2 trades/day — normal0.6 markets/day — normal33% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 21:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
2.74
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)29.4%
Mid (20-55c)47.1%
High (>55c)23.5%
Sessions
#127/21/2026, 9:58:43 PM48 trades$13,0374 min
7/9/2026, 9:37:38 PM2 trades$9620 min
6/30/2026, 2:00:50 PM5 trades$7540 min
7/11/2026, 8:59:17 PM7 trades$7192 min
7/9/2026, 5:58:46 PM2 trades$4960 min
5/11/2026, 6:30:08 PM2 trades$3450 min
6/27/2026, 7:53:55 PM10 trades$3362 min
6/16/2026, 8:50:05 PM2 trades$2910 min
6/26/2026, 1:00:14 AM6 trades$2692 min
6/24/2026, 8:18:50 PM2 trades$2270 min
7/25/2026, 9:29:04 PM4 trades$1960 min
6/23/2026, 9:33:01 PM5 trades$1782 min
7/1/2026, 8:05:11 PM5 trades$1700 min
6/19/2026, 9:09:47 PM2 trades$1670 min
6/16/2026, 4:41:20 PM2 trades$1470 min
7/4/2026, 10:17:46 PM2 trades$1470 min
6/19/2026, 7:13:55 PM2 trades$1430 min
6/25/2026, 12:13:26 AM2 trades$1270 min
6/23/2026, 1:15:59 AM2 trades$1250 min
6/23/2026, 12:40:50 AM2 trades$1220 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-07
06-20
06-24
06-27
07-01
07-05
07-12
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 3 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
67.1% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.74/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L29.4 / M47.1 / H23.5