@tomsir

#3,064,86519

0x630519aed8ebc5e0e08a95f4e83b0ae541c09d0b

~94d· 188 markets · 1125 tradesVol: $1,045,218 @skywalker07802026-08-04 17:19:16
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

19
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

39% (71/180)4.7/20
0.77x (win $98,054 / loss $127,064)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.4610/15
Sortino -2.2210/10
$-0.1578 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 415 (180 markets)10/10
29/62 profitable days (47%)4.2/10
Max DD 169% of peak ($71,307 / $42,298)0/10

Badges

3
Lottery Player
51% entries < $0.20
Whale
$183,881 invested
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

6
CRYPTO#11,442$4,130Vol: $901,905
SPORTS#1,872,496$-5,330Vol: $41,186
🏛️ POLITICS#1,636,226$-7,034Vol: $39,465
💰 FINANCE#657,980$-6,759Vol: $33,407
🎭 CULTURE#804,841$-460Vol: $8,448
📈 ECONOMICS#666,254$-160Vol: $464

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-16,453
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,045,218
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
188
total markets
Trades
785B / 340S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~94d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$-43
Vol: $3,793
Month
$-36
Vol: $3,793
All Time
$-16,453
Vol: $1,045,218

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
39%
71W / 109L events
Realized PnL
$-16,453
Win Rate
39%
71W / 109L
Profit Factor
0.77x
Avg Win
$1,381
Avg Loss
$-1,177

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $47,782 (2.9041408861605786% of PnL)

Top Winners

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$33,629
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?$8,162
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?$5,990
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)$5,276
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?$4,494
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?$3,328
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?$3,281
Over $10M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?$2,550
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET$2,425
Spread: France (-2.5)$2,357

Top Losers

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?$-20,759
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?$-9,000
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?$-8,500
Spread: England (-1.5)$-7,000
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?$-6,504
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?$-5,350
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?$-5,300
Monad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$-4,900
EdgeX FDV above $400M one day after launch?$-4,065
EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?$-3,881

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.076
Sortino
-0.106
HHI
291
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.156
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
11.3%
Top-5 markets
26.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
3.9
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.7
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
7.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.6h
between trades
Night Trading
15%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.14
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
7.0

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 448s — normal for humanCV 2.14 — diverse sizes (human-like)15% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock4 trades/day — normal0.7 markets/day — normal50% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 13:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.8
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)50.7%
Mid (20-55c)39.4%
High (>55c)9.9%

Sessions

#12
6/22/2026, 7:03:04 PM13 trades$16,2485 min
2/4/2026, 5:52:57 PM1 trades$12,7130 min
2/4/2026, 7:16:37 PM1 trades$10,2430 min
12/21/2025, 1:54:03 PM2 trades$9,5960 min
3/25/2026, 11:31:45 PM1 trades$8,5090 min
6/21/2026, 6:12:43 PM6 trades$6,5222 min
1/28/2026, 4:39:24 PM1 trades$6,4000 min
6/23/2026, 9:27:53 AM8 trades$6,3370 min
6/22/2026, 7:28:38 AM9 trades$6,2131 min
3/24/2026, 6:16:41 AM1 trades$5,8270 min
1/19/2026, 3:52:06 AM2 trades$5,5514 min
4/3/2026, 6:38:21 AM18 trades$5,5400 min
2/5/2026, 7:42:27 AM2 trades$4,7182 min
2/4/2026, 6:02:03 PM1 trades$4,6170 min
11/19/2025, 4:05:53 PM4 trades$4,4746 min
3/26/2026, 4:27:11 PM6 trades$3,8579 min
3/26/2026, 6:41:59 PM33 trades$3,58516 min
11/10/2025, 1:46:37 AM1 trades$3,5190 min
4/22/2026, 4:02:56 PM1 trades$3,5000 min
1/18/2026, 8:38:56 PM2 trades$3,4822 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-19
11-12
01-19
03-07
03-28
04-22
06-23

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 133 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
30.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.8/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L50.7 / M39.4 / H9.9