@trader-497

#2,666,52522

0xe5a1515f50b1203e4c1e639699b76bebeef83840

~78d· 6800 markets · 75529 tradesVol: $875,1152026-08-05 15:51:10
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

22
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

18% (1225/6800)0/20
0.97x (win $50,332 / loss $51,995)2.1/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.1960/15
Sortino -1.2800/10
$-0.0123 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 87 (6800 markets)10/10
53/72 profitable days (74%)10/10
Max DD 636% of peak ($4,232 / $666)0/10

Badges

5
Lottery Player
76% entries < $0.20
Diamond Hands
1% sells
Whale
$135,506 invested
Consistent
53/72 profitable days
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

7
🌤️ WEATHER#1,730$921Vol: $667,026
⚽ SPORTS#1,834,731$-1,141Vol: $90,048
🎭 CULTURE#31,473$48Vol: $51,046
🏛️ POLITICS#199,828$6Vol: $24,436
💰 FINANCE#16,342$122Vol: $21,280
📈 ECONOMICS#20,297$40Vol: $16,558
₿ CRYPTO#1,521,138$-166Vol: $1,936

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-160
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$875,115
Total Redeem
$3,099
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
6800
total markets
Trades
74420B / 1109S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~78d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
18%
1225W / 5575L events
Realized PnL
$-160
Win Rate
18%
1225W / 5575L
Profit Factor
0.97x
Avg Win
$41
Avg Loss
$-9

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $4,102 (25.668043301420433% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Spain be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?$1,812
Will Portugal be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?$1,573
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by April 5?$718
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on March 17?$600
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 39.0 and 39.4 on April 3, 2026?$581
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on March 29?$547
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on March 27?$543
Will Silver (SI) settle at <$75 in March?$523
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 30°C or higher on March 16?$517
Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 5.0% and 5.5%?$466

Top Losers

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-2,606
Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 4.5% and 5.0%?$-398
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 39.5 and 39.9 on April 3, 2026?$-396
Will Scotland win?$-393
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by April 5?$-274
Will 'BULLY' - Ye debut week album sales be less than 150k?$-264
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 46°F or higher on March 9?$-252
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on March 29?$-250

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.062
Sortino
-0.035
HHI
67
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.012
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
5%
Top-5 markets
15.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
469.1
Very active
Markets / Day
42.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
10.2m
between trades
Night Trading
24%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
10.83
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
8 min
Avg Trades / Session
54.2

Bot Detection

#6
60
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 64s — normal for humanCV 10.83 — diverse sizes (human-like)24% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock469 trades/day — automation42 markets/day — mass coverage4% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
11.11
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)76.5%
Mid (20-55c)16.4%
High (>55c)7.1%

Sessions

#12
4/16/2026, 8:47:06 AM15 trades$5,3690 min
7/6/2026, 3:43:47 AM6 trades$3,9001 min
6/30/2026, 7:53:26 AM6 trades$3,3690 min
7/6/2026, 6:44:13 AM2 trades$1,3092 min
7/6/2026, 4:39:20 AM1 trades$1,3020 min
2/14/2026, 4:50:05 PM34 trades$1,26615 min
2/14/2026, 2:12:57 PM17 trades$1,1303 min
2/15/2026, 6:44:19 AM25 trades$1,08118 min
2/13/2026, 7:31:55 PM49 trades$9289 min
2/14/2026, 11:02:31 AM34 trades$9104 min
2/15/2026, 8:54:01 AM241 trades$88748 min
7/6/2026, 4:07:46 PM4 trades$8273 min
7/6/2026, 9:53:47 AM2 trades$7990 min
2/15/2026, 9:55:55 AM9 trades$7980 min
2/13/2026, 8:57:17 AM119 trades$76328 min
3/14/2026, 8:56:01 AM61 trades$73610 min
7/6/2026, 9:21:13 AM3 trades$7295 min
2/15/2026, 10:23:43 AM39 trades$6768 min
2/13/2026, 5:03:21 PM46 trades$61211 min
2/12/2026, 8:00:27 PM56 trades$60523 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-27
02-15
03-02
03-14
03-26
04-09

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 3 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
56% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
1.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 11.11/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L76.5 / M16.4 / H7.1