@travaler

#3,065,47938

0x1fd2cf88897aef0f308785ac880b9d72b12cb7f8

~150d· 429 markets · 5643 tradesVol: $1,286,948 @travaler52026-08-05 01:04:59
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

38
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

68% (289/428)18.8/20
0.70x (win $40,500 / loss $58,039)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.8540/15
Sortino -1.9400/10
$-0.0331 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 107 (428 markets)10/10
87/130 profitable days (67%)9.2/10
Max DD 5262% of peak ($19,636 / $373)0/10

Badges

7
Sniper
Win rate 68%
DCA Master
Avg 13.2 entries/market
Whale
$529,637 invested
Consistent
87/130 profitable days
High Roller
$1,898/day
Win Streak
15 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

5
🌤️ WEATHER#299,380$-9,514Vol: $796,024
CRYPTO#1,673,934$-10,983Vol: $280,670
📈 ECONOMICS#1,545$2,901Vol: $110,521
🏛️ POLITICS#1,575,760$-268Vol: $73,707
💰 FINANCE#569,743$-10Vol: $167

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-16,736
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,286,948
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
429
total markets
Trades
2181B / 3462S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~150d

Periods

#2
Today
$81
Vol: $139
Week
$27
Vol: $1,004
Month
$-48
Vol: $1,557
All Time
$-16,736
Vol: $1,286,948

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
68%
289W / 139L events
Realized PnL
$-16,736
Win Rate
68%
289W / 139L
Profit Factor
0.7x
Avg Win
$140
Avg Loss
$-418

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $4,132 (0.24687705024803144% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?$1,690
Will the government shutdown last 6 days or more?$1,453
Fogo FDV above $700M one day after launch?$989
Sentient FDV above $1B one day after launch?$735
Over $15M committed to the Gensyn public sale?$715
Will EdgeX launch a token by March 31, 2026?$710
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on May 4?$634
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$588
Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on February 7?$583
Over $100M committed to the Gensyn public sale?$578

Top Losers

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C or higher on April 3?$-11,811
Over $5M committed to the Infinex public sale?$-5,757
Sentient FDV above $800M one day after launch?$-3,648
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on February 8?$-3,324
Stable FDV above $2B one day after launch?$-3,104
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on February 6?$-1,652
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? $-1,341
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on June 21?$-1,277
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on February 26?$-1,240
Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C on February 15?$-1,220

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.097
Sortino
-0.065
HHI
94
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.033
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
4.7%
Top-5 markets
15.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
20.2
Active
Markets / Day
1.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
51.8m
between trades
Night Trading
10%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.77
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
9.8

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 94s — normal for humanCV 2.77 — diverse sizes (human-like)10% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock20 trades/day — high frequency1.5 markets/day — normal40% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 13:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
13.18
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)5.2%
Mid (20-55c)17.2%
High (>55c)77.6%

Sessions

#12
2/3/2026, 9:42:20 PM7 trades$24,6812 min
2/3/2026, 5:36:38 PM1 trades$20,4110 min
2/3/2026, 7:25:24 AM5 trades$15,6962 min
2/3/2026, 9:26:54 PM4 trades$12,3114 min
2/3/2026, 9:11:12 PM8 trades$10,3786 min
12/29/2025, 3:06:13 PM3 trades$9,3714 min
1/23/2026, 8:05:18 PM21 trades$8,07811 min
12/20/2025, 7:12:23 PM3 trades$7,6982 min
12/6/2025, 7:09:35 AM12 trades$6,99314 min
12/19/2025, 8:49:12 AM4 trades$6,9301 min
12/16/2025, 4:53:15 PM6 trades$6,8171 min
4/1/2026, 6:48:03 PM103 trades$6,6425 min
12/20/2025, 2:23:50 PM5 trades$6,6232 min
12/15/2025, 4:39:27 PM1 trades$6,2390 min
2/3/2026, 7:33:26 AM4 trades$6,2038 min
12/19/2025, 5:43:49 PM6 trades$6,1418 min
4/3/2026, 3:52:11 AM27 trades$6,0544 min
1/4/2026, 10:44:15 AM3 trades$6,0292 min
1/26/2026, 4:27:12 AM2 trades$5,9562 min
1/31/2026, 6:43:48 AM3 trades$5,9547 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-29
12-29
02-06
03-04
03-26
05-29
07-20

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 119 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
58% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
61.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 13.18/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L5.2 / M17.2 / H77.6