@tubbo

#2,730,28620

0x0860bcfbf92fa56a092b5ac20a61bd2f584ea236

~25d· 32 markets · 77 tradesVol: $9,6742026-08-04 22:09:30
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

20
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

44% (11/25)7/20
0.49x (win $460 / loss $933)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.4920/15
Sortino -4.7330/10
$-0.1783 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 673 (25 markets)9.1/10
8/18 profitable days (44%)3.6/10
Max DD 300% of peak ($709 / $236)0/10

Badges

1
Win Streak
6 wins in a row

Categories

5
🏛️ POLITICS#1,556,278$-175Vol: $6,916
⚽ SPORTS#1,745,714$-215Vol: $1,700
🎭 CULTURE#15,338$168Vol: $530
💰 FINANCE#528,731$-4Vol: $250
₿ CRYPTO#1,003,905$-4Vol: $27

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-223
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$9,674
Total Redeem
$89
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
32
total markets
Trades
42B / 35S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~25d

Periods

#2
Today
$-3
Vol: $0
Week
$0
Vol: $0
Month
$3
Vol: $0
All Time
$-223
Vol: $9,674

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
44%
11W / 14L events
Realized PnL
$-223
Win Rate
44%
11W / 14L
Profit Factor
0.49x
Avg Win
$42
Avg Loss
$-72

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $270 (1.2108617594254936% of PnL)

Top Winners

Israel x Hamas ceasefire before June?$135
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$79
Jets vs. Dolphins$56
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$53
No Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024?$40
RFK Jr. confirmed as Health & Human Services Secretary?$33
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before May?$32
Trump signs national abortion ban?$11
Next Israel x Hamas ceasefire in November?$7
Will Jake Paul vs. Mike Tyson have no official winner?$7

Top Losers

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?$-400
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-120
Knicks vs. Heat$-100
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?$-86
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?$-50
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$-49
Seahawks vs. Patriots$-40
Will Nikki Haley be a member of the Trump administration?$-27
Florida vs. Houston$-27
Will Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua have no official winner?$-25

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.229
Sortino
-0.226
HHI
624
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.182
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
14%
Top-5 markets
44%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.0
Active Hours
16/24
Extended
Peak Hour
5:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.6h
between trades
Night Trading
48%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.69
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
33
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.3

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 122s — normal for humanCV 0.69 — diverse sizes (human-like)48% night trades — never sleeps16/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.0 markets/day — normal12% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 5:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.2
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)19%
Mid (20-55c)26.2%
High (>55c)54.8%

Sessions

#12
5/19/2026, 8:58:33 PM5 trades$3671 min
11/12/2024, 2:31:51 AM2 trades$3141 min
11/12/2024, 2:51:11 AM3 trades$3092 min
4/20/2025, 1:21:52 PM2 trades$2234 min
4/8/2026, 1:41:33 PM5 trades$2110 min
10/21/2024, 6:42:27 PM2 trades$1982 min
1/15/2025, 5:39:41 PM2 trades$1872 min
11/5/2024, 8:04:01 PM2 trades$1850 min
11/15/2024, 8:52:23 PM2 trades$1681 min
7/28/2026, 5:54:31 AM24 trades$1565 min
11/15/2024, 7:17:09 AM2 trades$1552 min
11/6/2024, 1:58:13 AM1 trades$1450 min
11/6/2024, 2:05:37 AM1 trades$1450 min
2/13/2025, 9:24:16 PM1 trades$1000 min
3/21/2025, 4:16:20 AM1 trades$1000 min
5/12/2025, 11:54:44 PM1 trades$1000 min
9/29/2025, 11:28:11 PM1 trades$1000 min
10/26/2025, 11:53:29 PM1 trades$1000 min
1/1/2026, 3:24:37 PM1 trades$1000 min
1/7/2026, 11:37:51 PM1 trades$850 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-06
11-15
04-08
09-29
01-21
04-08

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 293 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
45.5% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.2/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L19 / M26.2 / H54.8