@tumbra
#12,268900x52ca8cad990148ffad046766efae6dd87ffe523f
~79d· 80 markets · 932 tradesVol: $221,6402026-08-04 17:19:59
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
90
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
83% (57/69)20/20
2.14x (win $19,654 / loss $9,203)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 3.59415/15
Sortino 4.80510/10
$+0.0932 per $1 invested4.7/10
HHI 661 (69 markets)9.2/10
39/46 profitable days (85%)10/10
Max DD 40% of peak ($6,631 / $16,737)6.1/10
Badges
8Sniper
Win rate 83%
Profitable
PnL $+12,147
DCA Master
Avg 14.9 entries/market
Whale
$112,138 invested
Consistent
39/46 profitable days
Win Streak
19 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
78% maker orders
Categories
7💰 FINANCE#899$6,069Vol: $79,633
🏛️ POLITICS#11,412$2,046Vol: $60,030
📈 ECONOMICS#6,494$299Vol: $39,421
🌤️ WEATHER#1,168$1,544Vol: $11,858
💻 TECH#1,522$894Vol: $8,085
🎭 CULTURE#24,502$75Vol: $6,703
⚽ SPORTS#348,246$4Vol: $1,629
Overview
#1Net PnL
$12,147
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$221,640
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
80
total markets
Trades
755B / 177S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~79d
Periods
#2Today
$80
Vol: $0
Week
$40
Vol: $0
Month
$220
Vol: $4,000
All Time
$12,147
Vol: $221,640
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
83%
57W / 12L events
Realized PnL
$12,147
Win Rate
83%
57W / 12L
Profit Factor
2.14x
Avg Win
$345
Avg Loss
$-920
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $7,565 (0.6227566994421796% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?$3,201
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$3,049
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?$1,315
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?$1,016
Ebola case in the US by June 30?$972
Will gas hit (High) $5.00 by May 31?$942
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$837
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31?$732
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,200 by end of June?$680
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$653
Top Losers
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$-6,010
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $64 in July?$-971
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 100-101°F on July 3?$-541
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by August 31?$-466
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$-451
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?$-414
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$-255
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$-83
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.186
Sortino
0.099
HHI
1117
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.080
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
22.6%
Top-5 markets
58.4%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
2.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
6.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.2h
between trades
Night Trading
23%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.74
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.5
Bot Detection
#625
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 372s — normal for humanCV 2.74 — diverse sizes (human-like)23% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock2 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal78% maker — frequent liquidity provider
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 13:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
14.9
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)2%
Mid (20-55c)16.2%
High (>55c)81.9%
Sessions
#126/18/2026, 9:23:35 AM31 trades$10,80914 min
6/1/2026, 4:38:47 AM1 trades$5,2610 min
6/25/2026, 11:17:07 AM9 trades$4,9856 min
6/25/2026, 10:35:07 AM2 trades$3,7930 min
6/18/2026, 6:17:11 PM1 trades$3,7890 min
4/8/2026, 12:23:23 AM11 trades$3,27711 min
6/8/2026, 8:35:48 AM15 trades$3,2041 min
1/31/2026, 4:58:40 AM1 trades$3,1850 min
6/1/2026, 1:12:39 PM8 trades$3,1340 min
8/1/2026, 4:17:44 PM1 trades$3,0000 min
5/3/2026, 1:09:10 AM16 trades$2,9820 min
1/31/2026, 11:32:54 AM1 trades$2,6860 min
3/30/2026, 1:41:51 PM1 trades$2,5570 min
4/8/2026, 1:17:17 AM1 trades$2,4910 min
6/19/2026, 7:01:26 AM4 trades$2,3320 min
2/2/2026, 8:20:10 PM3 trades$2,2745 min
6/1/2026, 8:22:38 AM4 trades$2,2352 min
4/7/2026, 11:37:37 PM2 trades$2,0440 min
3/29/2026, 7:04:16 PM4 trades$1,8525 min
6/3/2026, 12:27:36 AM17 trades$1,8351 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
07-03
09-15
01-31
03-18
04-11
06-03
07-12
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 11 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
2% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
19% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 14.9/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L2 / M16.2 / H81.9