@tweetstoday

#17,05156

0x6c5fe6822791fa005552f80b435d7d98c281a235

~66d· 99 markets · 730 tradesVol: $243,0912026-08-04 19:57:50
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

56
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

42% (42/99)6.2/20
1.28x (win $8,293 / loss $6,494)6/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.01615/15
Sortino 1.25610/10
$+0.0622 per $1 invested3.1/10
HHI 701 (99 markets)9/10
27/48 profitable days (56%)6.6/10
Max DD 77% of peak ($4,040 / $5,221)0/10

Badges

3
Profitable
PnL $+8,366
Lottery Player
41% entries < $0.20
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

7
🌤️ WEATHER#258$7,338Vol: $198,550
₿ CRYPTO#29,654$1,043Vol: $22,014
📈 ECONOMICS#54,252$6Vol: $8,538
💻 TECH#249,987$-110Vol: $8,004
🎭 CULTURE#29,827$52Vol: $5,605
🏛️ POLITICS#1,446,366$-41Vol: $270
💰 FINANCE#20,857$77Vol: $110

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$8,366
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$243,091
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
99
total markets
Trades
526B / 204S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~66d

Periods

#2
Today
$2
Vol: $0
Week
$1,038
Vol: $5,652
Month
$1,644
Vol: $5,652
All Time
$8,366
Vol: $243,091

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
42%
42W / 57L events
Realized PnL
$8,366
Win Rate
42%
42W / 57L
Profit Factor
1.28x
Avg Win
$197
Avg Loss
$-118

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $3,926 (0.46929754836982307% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on June 6?$2,012
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on July 5?$1,258
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on June 7?$657
Will Hyperliquid reach $50 in November?$420
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 74°F or higher on March 24?$324
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on June 7?$315
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on June 16?$312
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 72°F or higher on May 8?$267
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on June 6?$265
Will Ethereum reach $4800 in October?$247

Top Losers

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 3?$-3,872
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?$-556
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 16?$-481
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 62-63°F on December 16?$-337
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on November 26?$-132
Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?$-110
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 27°C on July 20?$-84
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on December 19?$-77
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 29-30°F on December 5?$-76
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on December 2?$-76

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.053
Sortino
0.044
HHI
603
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.062
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
14.6%
Top-5 markets
43.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
7:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.3h
between trades
Night Trading
18%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.77
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.9

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 203s — normal for humanCV 3.77 — diverse sizes (human-like)18% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock3 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal66% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 7:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
7.37
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)41.4%
Mid (20-55c)6.5%
High (>55c)52.1%

Sessions

#12
7/17/2026, 7:46:45 PM6 trades$4,3660 min
7/20/2026, 8:44:48 AM27 trades$3,8770 min
6/6/2026, 7:15:49 AM11 trades$2,3952 min
7/2/2026, 6:54:26 PM16 trades$1,8682 min
10/9/2025, 7:18:42 PM2 trades$1,7861 min
11/23/2025, 2:42:03 PM1 trades$1,7470 min
10/27/2025, 5:36:55 AM3 trades$1,6254 min
10/27/2025, 6:06:33 PM1 trades$1,5210 min
10/10/2025, 5:37:48 AM6 trades$1,5164 min
11/21/2025, 11:19:17 AM1 trades$1,3120 min
7/4/2026, 10:01:49 PM15 trades$1,2410 min
5/12/2026, 11:51:50 AM6 trades$1,2320 min
10/15/2025, 1:46:25 AM2 trades$1,2080 min
7/3/2026, 9:07:52 AM11 trades$1,1760 min
7/2/2026, 8:41:20 PM7 trades$1,1023 min
10/7/2025, 7:40:14 PM5 trades$9808 min
10/8/2025, 7:06:50 AM5 trades$8976 min
6/7/2026, 7:34:18 AM19 trades$8561 min
10/23/2025, 12:51:57 AM1 trades$7140 min
11/1/2025, 8:54:57 AM1 trades$7060 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-08
11-25
12-09
12-18
03-23
05-12

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 26 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
66% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
27.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 7.37/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L41.4 / M6.5 / H52.1