@ujelly

#187,51923

0x64b8f6cfcc770cfa03ab57f7ab802ed86e9f051b

~35d· 20 markets · 535 tradesVol: $16,7472026-08-05 15:51:14
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

23
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

53% (10/19)11.3/20
0.95x (win $2,721 / loss $2,850)1.9/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.2840/15
Sortino -0.5420/10
$-0.0157 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1015 (19 markets)7.4/10
6/15 profitable days (40%)2.5/10
Max DD 107% of peak ($1,912 / $1,783)0/10

Badges

2
Profitable
PnL $+169
DCA Master
Avg 27.6 entries/market

Categories

3
💰 FINANCE#646,821$-321Vol: $10,521
💻 TECH#2,257$490Vol: $6,222
CRYPTO#591,878$0Vol: $3

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$169
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$16,747
Total Redeem
$360
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
20
total markets
Trades
143B / 392S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~35d

Periods

#2
Today
$1
Vol: $0
Week
$-6
Vol: $0
Month
$32
Vol: $0
All Time
$169
Vol: $16,747

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
53%
10W / 9L events
Realized PnL
$169
Win Rate
53%
10W / 9L
Profit Factor
0.95x
Avg Win
$272
Avg Loss
$-317

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,263 (13.389289940828402% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will there be fewer than 2 ChatGPT outages in May 2026?$1,896
ChatGPT Outage by April 3?$230
Will Claude go down 3-5 times in May?$137
Will Claude go down 12+ times in May?$104
Will Claude go down 9-11 times in June?$103
Will there be 4 or more ChatGPT outages in June 2026?$93
Will there be exactly 3 ChatGPT outages in June 2026?$59
Another critical Cloudflare incident by September 30, 2026?$59
Will there be exactly 2 ChatGPT outages in June 2026?$40
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET$0

Top Losers

Another critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026?$-937
Will Claude go down 12+ times in June?$-621
Will Claude go down 9-11 times in May?$-478
Another critical Cloudflare incident by July 31, 2026?$-299
Will Claude go down 6-8 times in June?$-258
Another critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026?$-152
Critical Discord Incident by March 31, 2026?$-70
ChatGPT Outage by May 1?$-25
Will there be exactly 2 ChatGPT outages in May 2026?$-12

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.014
Sortino
-0.030
HHI
777
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.016
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
17.1%
Top-5 markets
50.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
3.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
20/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
5.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.5h
between trades
Night Trading
21%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.50
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
9.1

Bot Detection

#6
10
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 315s — normal for humanCV 1.49 — diverse sizes (human-like)21% night trades — unusual hours20/24 hours — extended activity4 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal24% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
27.58
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)2.8%
Mid (20-55c)16.8%
High (>55c)80.4%

Sessions

#12
6/22/2026, 12:37:46 AM37 trades$1,5210 min
6/1/2026, 11:50:35 PM5 trades$1,3510 min
6/24/2026, 11:12:22 PM10 trades$1,2241 min
6/13/2026, 6:24:36 AM54 trades$1,2188 min
6/22/2026, 1:34:23 AM39 trades$1,1761 min
6/8/2026, 5:36:37 PM27 trades$1,1607 min
6/23/2026, 2:24:22 PM16 trades$5820 min
5/2/2026, 7:20:34 PM10 trades$5150 min
5/12/2026, 7:36:53 PM14 trades$4370 min
4/2/2026, 2:22:19 PM28 trades$4296 min
6/8/2026, 10:57:27 PM2 trades$3110 min
5/30/2026, 10:58:15 PM5 trades$3090 min
5/30/2026, 11:50:15 PM12 trades$3001 min
6/22/2026, 12:42:47 AM8 trades$2880 min
5/4/2026, 11:12:40 PM10 trades$2634 min
6/2/2026, 7:28:31 AM5 trades$2520 min
6/18/2026, 7:41:56 AM10 trades$2030 min
7/31/2026, 5:22:27 PM6 trades$2000 min
4/29/2026, 6:20:40 AM2 trades$1800 min
5/15/2026, 6:36:30 PM10 trades$1521 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-08
04-02
05-14
05-30
06-01
06-13
06-19
06-24

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 23 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
73.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 27.58/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L2.8 / M16.8 / H80.4