@umbrella-labs

#2,782,62440

0x860c51f3afa22dfaa4ae2c26fc749701f545418d

~57d· 651 markets · 3113 tradesVol: $79,7012026-08-04 23:58:50
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

40
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

25% (135/550)0/20
1.16x (win $5,151 / loss $4,458)4.4/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.4728.8/15
Sortino 0.9819.8/10
$+0.1218 per $1 invested6.1/10
HHI 241 (550 markets)10/10
17/54 profitable days (31%)0.4/10
Max DD 78% of peak ($2,505 / $3,198)0/10

Badges

2
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
⚽ SPORTS#1,729,952$-177Vol: $39,875
🏛️ POLITICS#1,036,252$-3Vol: $26,699
🌤️ WEATHER#273,093$-40Vol: $3,857
₿ CRYPTO#1,320,285$-30Vol: $3,779
🎭 CULTURE#712,814$-16Vol: $1,995
📈 ECONOMICS#499,108$-1Vol: $1,727
💰 FINANCE#597,121$-20Vol: $368
📢 MENTIONS#122,312$-7Vol: $90
💻 TECH#33,129$2Vol: $5

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-303
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$79,701
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
651
total markets
Trades
2111B / 1002S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~57d

Periods

#2
Today
$-4
Vol: $20
Week
$-1
Vol: $80
Month
$-3
Vol: $135
All Time
$-303
Vol: $79,701

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
25%
135W / 414L events
Realized PnL
$-303
Win Rate
25%
135W / 414L
Profit Factor
1.16x
Avg Win
$38
Avg Loss
$-12

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $4,068 (13.43069405005613% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$3,921
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. North Macedonia end in a draw?$99
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?$48
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?$46
Will Iván Cepeda Castro place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?$45
Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$36
Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox$36
Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?$33
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?$31
Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 5.5$28

Top Losers

Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?$-657
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$-307
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$-283
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?$-214
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$-203
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in June?$-192
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?$-146
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?$-118
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-85
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?$-70

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.025
Sortino
0.042
HHI
376
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.107
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
11.6%
Top-5 markets
35.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
35.4
Active
Markets / Day
7.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
5.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
33.8m
between trades
Night Trading
27%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.08
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
7 min
Avg Trades / Session
12.1

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 300s — normal for humanCV 1.08 — diverse sizes (human-like)27% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock35 trades/day — high frequency7.4 markets/day — normal68% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 21:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.77
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)30%
Mid (20-55c)15.6%
High (>55c)54.4%

Sessions

#12
6/14/2026, 11:49:46 AM2 trades$3450 min
6/18/2026, 9:16:49 PM29 trades$2240 min
7/22/2026, 1:46:06 AM10 trades$1936 min
5/7/2026, 11:16:06 PM5 trades$1650 min
6/16/2026, 9:43:30 AM9 trades$1470 min
6/20/2026, 5:45:53 PM10 trades$1371 min
5/30/2026, 9:57:35 PM7 trades$1320 min
5/30/2026, 2:45:15 PM16 trades$1250 min
5/29/2026, 7:59:47 PM6 trades$1250 min
6/17/2026, 7:50:58 AM12 trades$10610 min
6/19/2026, 9:50:40 PM18 trades$9815 min
6/17/2026, 6:01:05 PM12 trades$9610 min
5/29/2026, 12:59:52 AM20 trades$751 min
6/11/2026, 9:45:48 PM15 trades$7518 min
6/17/2026, 12:21:11 AM12 trades$7311 min
6/16/2026, 9:21:10 AM2 trades$670 min
6/5/2026, 1:55:57 PM27 trades$6520 min
7/11/2026, 9:05:35 PM27 trades$645 min
7/6/2026, 12:38:47 AM15 trades$583 min
6/11/2026, 5:30:52 PM14 trades$5119 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-07
06-11
06-20
07-03
07-14
07-23

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 50 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
32.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.77/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L30 / M15.6 / H54.4