@uraw

#16,17186

0x8a4ceea487d437f8ca48fde1533d09b61f6f2c4c

~115d· 130 markets · 2785 tradesVol: $451,6642026-08-05 02:23:42
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

86
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

60% (56/94)14.8/20
2.09x (win $40,358 / loss $19,272)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 3.37915/15
Sortino 11.23710/10
$+0.1663 per $1 invested8.3/10
HHI 1014 (94 markets)7.4/10
27/51 profitable days (53%)5.7/10
Max DD 21% of peak ($5,725 / $26,807)9.7/10

Badges

6
Profitable
PnL $+8,858
DCA Master
Avg 29.6 entries/market
Whale
$126,765 invested
Cool Head
Max DD 21%
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

7
🏛️ POLITICS#7,463$3,913Vol: $287,509
📈 ECONOMICS#1,448$3,173Vol: $139,496
CRYPTO#23,923$1,563Vol: $15,730
💰 FINANCE#14,418$152Vol: $2,970
🌤️ WEATHER#7,923$82Vol: $1,582
SPORTS#1,527,089$-31Vol: $336
🎭 CULTURE#36,667$36Vol: $255

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$8,970
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$451,664
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
130
total markets
Trades
1269B / 1516S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~115d

Periods

#2
Today
$2
Vol: $0
Week
$-165
Vol: $2,100
Month
$-200
Vol: $2,100
All Time
$8,970
Vol: $451,664

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
60%
56W / 38L events
Realized PnL
$8,858
Win Rate
60%
56W / 38L
Profit Factor
2.09x
Avg Win
$721
Avg Loss
$-584

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $20,544 (2.319432527389156% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$13,287
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$3,959
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?$3,298
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$2,247
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?$2,227
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$2,114
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?$1,809
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?$1,350
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?$1,294
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$839

Top Losers

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$-3,716
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-2,576
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$-1,473
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$-1,459
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$-1,286
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?$-1,079
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?$-920
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$-904
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the July 2026 meeting?$-558
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?$-552

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.175
Sortino
0.507
HHI
612
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.167
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
18.4%
Top-5 markets
44.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
17.1
Active
Markets / Day
0.8
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
7:00 UTC
Median Gap
11.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.9h
between trades
Night Trading
11%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.18
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
17.7

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 672s — normal for humanCV 3.18 — diverse sizes (human-like)11% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock17 trades/day — very active0.8 markets/day — normal41% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 7:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
29.62
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)22.2%
Mid (20-55c)17.4%
High (>55c)60.4%

Sessions

#12
4/27/2026, 7:18:34 PM2 trades$25,0000 min
6/16/2026, 5:51:58 AM2 trades$25,0000 min
4/30/2026, 8:03:14 PM21 trades$17,8397 min
7/27/2026, 4:37:10 AM15 trades$16,4050 min
4/30/2026, 12:05:38 AM4 trades$11,6672 min
6/15/2026, 8:38:49 AM50 trades$7,85913 min
5/23/2026, 8:04:45 AM127 trades$7,6326 min
4/7/2026, 10:45:37 PM13 trades$7,0980 min
7/15/2026, 9:17:10 AM8 trades$6,4971 min
5/23/2026, 9:20:39 PM84 trades$6,4063 min
5/11/2026, 7:15:51 PM13 trades$6,0395 min
6/4/2026, 11:00:31 AM13 trades$5,8621 min
5/19/2026, 6:07:40 PM19 trades$4,4871 min
4/18/2026, 11:03:44 AM64 trades$4,2286 min
4/10/2026, 9:53:41 AM15 trades$4,1431 min
4/7/2026, 9:30:25 AM15 trades$3,8347 min
7/1/2026, 12:27:05 PM8 trades$3,4772 min
6/17/2026, 9:04:11 AM7 trades$3,4320 min
5/25/2026, 7:13:23 AM31 trades$3,3330 min
5/13/2026, 5:39:13 PM9 trades$2,9591 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-27
04-07
04-26
05-07
05-30
06-15
07-17

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 18 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
54.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 29.62/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L22.2 / M17.4 / H60.4