@valar999

#43,71390

0xc7a70843637ad15e4ff631e9a541c437464d42b8

~64d· 45 markets · 266 tradesVol: $76,9872026-08-05 17:30:03
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

90
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

61% (25/41)15.5/20
9.63x (win $10,023 / loss $1,041)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 4.93415/15
Sortino 62.82810/10
$+0.2102 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 979 (41 markets)7.6/10
18/32 profitable days (56%)6.6/10
Max DD 5% of peak ($436 / $8,982)10/10

Badges

5
Sniper
Win rate 61%
Profitable
PnL $+2,505
DCA Master
Avg 6.0 entries/market
Cool Head
Max DD 5%
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active

Categories

5
🎭 CULTURE#44,058$25Vol: $28,274
🏛️ POLITICS#13,506$1,568Vol: $28,001
⚽ SPORTS#45,810$733Vol: $16,213
₿ CRYPTO#56,285$274Vol: $3,994
💻 TECH#214,114$-4Vol: $51

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$2,505
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$76,987
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
45
total markets
Trades
153B / 113S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~64d

Periods

#2
Week
$-13
Vol: $13
Month
$-44
Vol: $13
All Time
$2,505
Vol: $76,987

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
61%
25W / 16L events
Realized PnL
$2,505
Win Rate
61%
25W / 16L
Profit Factor
9.63x
Avg Win
$401
Avg Loss
$-87

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $8,054 (3.2158322786199958% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$6,082
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1,384
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$589
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $115K and $117K on August 8?$571
Will the Government shutdown end October 6-9?$520
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2025?$364
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$314
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$106
Interstellar object confirmed aliens?$31
Will Bitcoin dip to $100k in October?$16

Top Losers

Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?$-324
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $113K and $115K on August 8?$-249
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?$-227
Will another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?$-92
Will Trump launch a coin before the election?$-65
Iran strike on Israel before November?$-38
Will Russia capture Vuhledar before October? $-29
Nothing Ever Happens: Conspiracy Edition$-7
OpenAI becomes a for-profit before April 2025?$-4
Will Zelensky meet with Trump in September?$-4

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.254
Sortino
2.370
HHI
952
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.234
Kelly %
39.3%
Half-Kelly
19.7%
Top-1 market
20%
Top-5 markets
60.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
9.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.0h
between trades
Night Trading
17%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.31
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.1

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 551s — normal for humanCV 2.31 — diverse sizes (human-like)17% night trades — unusual hours23/24 hours — around the clock0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal66% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)7.2%
Mid (20-55c)39.9%
High (>55c)52.9%

Sessions

#12
10/12/2025, 6:39:06 AM2 trades$5,3412 min
11/20/2025, 6:38:09 PM2 trades$5,3262 min
10/1/2025, 12:29:41 PM2 trades$4,2071 min
4/30/2026, 12:53:08 AM8 trades$3,5670 min
6/23/2026, 10:22:50 AM8 trades$3,0031 min
1/9/2026, 11:20:16 AM1 trades$2,8060 min
10/11/2025, 10:16:20 PM1 trades$2,6390 min
7/14/2026, 8:24:40 PM7 trades$2,1760 min
7/14/2026, 11:31:31 PM2 trades$2,1760 min
6/16/2026, 6:58:32 PM1 trades$2,0570 min
5/30/2026, 5:49:29 PM1 trades$2,0370 min
1/14/2026, 1:24:36 PM1 trades$2,0000 min
1/18/2026, 1:08:54 PM4 trades$2,0006 min
11/22/2025, 1:09:35 PM1 trades$1,9990 min
6/27/2026, 8:38:35 PM2 trades$1,7730 min
4/30/2026, 1:00:44 AM13 trades$1,6070 min
1/13/2026, 8:36:14 PM1 trades$1,3980 min
1/9/2026, 6:57:42 AM2 trades$1,3595 min
8/6/2025, 1:11:22 PM3 trades$1,0445 min
8/18/2025, 10:08:46 AM1 trades$9990 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
09-13
10-19
11-26
01-16
08-08
11-20
07-14

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 117 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
42.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L7.2 / M39.9 / H52.9