@valera44

#1,544,5740

0x4897d58453446720deae85bb2d0319de2e2ac0cb

~20d· 12 markets · 55 tradesVol: $19,6592026-08-05 15:02:08
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

0
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

27% (3/11)0/20
0.05x (win $1 / loss $18)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -18.3830/15
Sortino -13.2920/10
$-0.1276 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 4942 (11 markets)0/10
3/11 profitable days (27%)0/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($17 / $0)0/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
55% entries < $0.20

Categories

4
🏛️ POLITICS#1,040,876$-3Vol: $12,465
🎭 CULTURE#433,150$-0Vol: $2,516
🌤️ WEATHER#193,515$-1Vol: $1,156
₿ CRYPTO#558,809$0Vol: $1

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-4
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$19,659
Total Redeem
$52
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
12
total markets
Trades
29B / 26S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~20d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$-0
Vol: $0
Month
$-0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-4
Vol: $19,659

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
27%
3W / 8L events
Realized PnL
$-4
Win Rate
27%
3W / 8L
Profit Factor
0.05x
Avg Win
$0
Avg Loss
$-3

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1 (0.21108179419525067% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in June 2026?$1
Will Seattle have between 3.5 and 4 inches of precipitation in April?$0
Will Maria Cantore win the by-election for the seat of Terrebone in the House of Commons of Canada?$0

Top Losers

Will Chellie Pingree be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?$-4
Will United Left (BSP) finish third in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?$-4
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?$-3
Will Saudi Aramco be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$-2
Will March 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record?$-2
Will "The Whistler" be the April film with the highest domestic gross on May 31?$-1
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET$-1

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.917
Sortino
-1.264
HHI
1708
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.128
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
22.1%
Top-5 markets
85.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
13/24
Extended
Peak Hour
18:00 UTC
Median Gap
8.0h
between trades
Avg Gap
9.5h
between trades
Night Trading
13%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.96
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
22
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.5

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 28959s — normal for humanCV 1.96 — diverse sizes (human-like)13% night trades — normal pattern13/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal42% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 18:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.27
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)55.2%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)44.8%

Sessions

#12
5/14/2026, 2:23:30 PM8 trades$3520 min
5/26/2026, 5:42:51 PM2 trades$510 min
4/11/2026, 9:20:27 PM2 trades$290 min
4/25/2026, 9:15:28 AM2 trades$260 min
6/29/2026, 2:55:55 AM2 trades$260 min
4/19/2026, 9:58:02 PM4 trades$40 min
7/2/2026, 5:38:34 AM2 trades$40 min
4/4/2026, 5:00:57 PM3 trades$30 min
5/24/2026, 6:57:20 PM9 trades$30 min
4/17/2026, 9:01:12 AM3 trades$30 min
4/9/2026, 3:00:17 PM2 trades$20 min
4/30/2026, 3:21:44 PM4 trades$20 min
7/18/2026, 2:39:01 AM1 trades$20 min
5/14/2026, 5:52:16 PM1 trades$20 min
4/5/2026, 4:09:31 PM3 trades$21 min
5/25/2026, 2:59:59 AM1 trades$10 min
3/29/2026, 7:54:26 PM1 trades$10 min
5/15/2026, 5:58:37 AM1 trades$00 min
5/13/2026, 11:23:51 AM1 trades$00 min
5/27/2026, 6:03:12 AM1 trades$00 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-29
04-05
04-09
04-11
04-19
04-25
05-15
05-26
05-27
05-29
06-29

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
47.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.27/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L55.2 / M0 / H44.8