@valoply

#2,887,09541

0xf6f16fee2ecce57db1c3ff3b69ce9b0ee817abbb

~71d· 92 markets · 517 tradesVol: $52,1002026-08-05 03:03:18
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

41
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

77% (69/90)20/20
0.95x (win $1,880 / loss $1,988)1.8/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.2720/15
Sortino -0.4170/10
$-0.0042 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 671 (90 markets)9.1/10
38/52 profitable days (73%)10/10
Max DD 130% of peak ($1,013 / $777)0/10

Badges

5
Sniper
Win rate 77%
DCA Master
Avg 7.3 entries/market
Consistent
38/52 profitable days
Win Streak
8 wins in a row
🏗️Market Maker
70% maker orders

Categories

9
₿ CRYPTO#1,569,150$-325Vol: $27,874
💰 FINANCE#15,785$129Vol: $7,234
🌤️ WEATHER#9,782$56Vol: $6,679
🏛️ POLITICS#48,646$170Vol: $4,787
⚽ SPORTS#1,783,378$-380Vol: $2,328
📈 ECONOMICS#644,574$-42Vol: $2,002
💻 TECH#246,579$-68Vol: $612
📢 MENTIONS#162,899$-92Vol: $100
🎭 CULTURE#771,583$-70Vol: $90

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-684
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$52,100
Total Redeem
$1,896
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
92
total markets
Trades
362B / 155S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~71d

Periods

#2
Today
$9
Vol: $0
Week
$30
Vol: $380
Month
$30
Vol: $380
All Time
$-684
Vol: $52,100

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
77%
69W / 21L events
Realized PnL
$-684
Win Rate
77%
69W / 21L
Profit Factor
0.95x
Avg Win
$27
Avg Loss
$-110

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,005 (1.4692356045433947% of PnL)

Top Winners

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?$630
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$242
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?$133
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$101
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$78
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.2T?$58
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 5-11?$45
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?$39
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase June 2-8?$30
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?$29

Top Losers

France vs. England: O/U 6.5$-407
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?$-336
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$-298
US forces enter Iran by April 30?$-176
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET$-150
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?$-130
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$-108
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs$-94
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?$-88
Will MegaETH launch a token by June 30, 2026?$-46

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.014
Sortino
-0.016
HHI
631
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.003
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
15.5%
Top-5 markets
46.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
4.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.7
Active Hours
21/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
10:00 UTC
Median Gap
13.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.6h
between trades
Night Trading
3%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.79
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.2

Bot Detection

#6
10
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 778s — normal for humanCV 1.79 — diverse sizes (human-like)3% night trades — normal pattern21/24 hours — extended activity4 trades/day — normal0.7 markets/day — normal70% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 10:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
7.3
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)6.4%
Mid (20-55c)3.9%
High (>55c)89.8%

Sessions

#12
4/3/2026, 4:12:31 PM10 trades$6,3990 min
7/1/2026, 9:40:05 PM4 trades$1,9710 min
4/7/2026, 1:13:41 PM5 trades$1,0153 min
6/7/2026, 7:10:30 PM4 trades$1,0000 min
6/15/2026, 11:43:04 AM5 trades$1,0000 min
7/1/2026, 6:03:07 PM3 trades$9970 min
6/22/2026, 10:21:40 AM3 trades$8413 min
3/31/2026, 7:19:47 PM5 trades$8350 min
4/8/2026, 11:11:39 PM9 trades$7440 min
6/11/2026, 5:14:43 PM4 trades$7004 min
6/11/2026, 3:26:12 PM2 trades$6200 min
5/2/2026, 11:03:54 PM5 trades$5070 min
6/12/2026, 4:55:37 PM2 trades$5000 min
4/30/2026, 5:01:28 PM1 trades$4810 min
4/30/2026, 5:09:06 PM1 trades$4800 min
6/7/2026, 10:16:33 PM1 trades$4770 min
6/8/2026, 10:14:37 AM9 trades$4605 min
6/12/2026, 9:45:48 AM15 trades$42121 min
6/30/2026, 10:42:29 AM2 trades$4000 min
7/8/2026, 9:17:07 PM3 trades$3890 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-30
04-10
04-29
05-11
06-08
06-25
07-19

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 33 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
8% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
30% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 7.3/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L6.4 / M3.9 / H89.8