@vegashell

#129,14159

0x46a3c0af93fc11793ae0b55b943d1025ca50032e

~36d· 45 markets · 329 tradesVol: $23,8542026-08-04 17:15:18
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

59
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

48% (15/31)9.2/20
1.66x (win $2,344 / loss $1,411)10.8/15
Annualised Sharpe 3.57315/15
Sortino 5.90510/10
$+0.1404 per $1 invested7/10
HHI 2464 (31 markets)0.2/10
13/23 profitable days (57%)6.6/10
Max DD 83% of peak ($812 / $974)0/10

Badges

2
Profitable
PnL $+392
DCA Master
Avg 9.2 entries/market

Categories

6
🎭 CULTURE#689,046$-10Vol: $10,000
🏛️ POLITICS#27,351$494Vol: $7,916
💰 FINANCE#636,688$-128Vol: $2,779
SPORTS#126,080$92Vol: $2,069
💻 TECH#245,701$-60Vol: $673
📈 ECONOMICS#64,440$4Vol: $417

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$392
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$23,854
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
45
total markets
Trades
104B / 225S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~36d

Periods

#2
Today
$-9
Vol: $0
Week
$-19
Vol: $0
Month
$41
Vol: $0
All Time
$392
Vol: $23,854

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
48%
15W / 16L events
Realized PnL
$392
Win Rate
48%
15W / 16L
Profit Factor
1.66x
Avg Win
$156
Avg Loss
$-176

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,408 (3.594002807196631% of PnL)

Top Winners

Iran closes its airspace by May 31?$730
Will the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?$423
Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?$255
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?$230
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?$163
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?$157
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?$83
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?$65
Will JD Vance sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?$61
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?$55

Top Losers

Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?$-891
Will SpaceX acquire Cursor?$-236
Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?$-108
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?$-76
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-40
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?$-20
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?$-20
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?$-20

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.183
Sortino
0.175
HHI
535
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.163
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
11.4%
Top-5 markets
44.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
3.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.5
Active Hours
18/24
Extended
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
13.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.4h
between trades
Night Trading
7%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.92
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.5

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 817s — normal for humanCV 0.92 — diverse sizes (human-like)7% night trades — normal pattern18/24 hours — extended activity4 trades/day — normal0.5 markets/day — normal30% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 19:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
9.19
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)6.7%
Mid (20-55c)32.7%
High (>55c)60.6%

Sessions

#12
5/18/2026, 3:08:01 PM8 trades$10,2026 min
5/4/2026, 9:21:08 PM19 trades$1,09111 min
5/25/2026, 7:47:07 PM23 trades$9429 min
4/25/2026, 10:52:50 PM8 trades$6230 min
4/29/2026, 6:58:06 PM7 trades$6060 min
5/4/2026, 5:09:46 AM9 trades$4992 min
6/30/2026, 7:22:34 AM6 trades$4670 min
6/9/2026, 1:07:51 PM17 trades$4323 min
5/24/2026, 7:47:09 AM7 trades$4121 min
4/28/2026, 7:39:38 PM2 trades$3700 min
4/26/2026, 4:35:28 PM8 trades$3130 min
7/25/2026, 9:45:51 AM2 trades$2940 min
7/1/2026, 3:58:44 AM2 trades$2860 min
5/24/2026, 7:20:24 AM6 trades$2600 min
7/19/2026, 9:06:22 PM6 trades$2312 min
6/22/2026, 3:48:17 PM6 trades$2282 min
6/22/2026, 3:42:32 PM4 trades$2281 min
7/20/2026, 5:13:54 AM4 trades$2010 min
6/17/2026, 4:03:01 AM6 trades$2000 min
5/31/2026, 4:14:25 PM8 trades$2000 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-25
05-04
05-12
05-25
06-14
06-26
07-06
07-25

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 9 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
68.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 9.19/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L6.7 / M32.7 / H60.6