@vibekot
#1,932,513410xc3e5e0bd77873854a884f7942c4b5e5e4f62015d
~170d· 337 markets · 834 tradesVol: $50,2362026-08-03 19:35:12
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
41
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
73% (228/314)20/20
0.98x (win $1,982 / loss $2,024)2.2/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.1210/15
Sortino -0.1460/10
$-0.0013 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 129 (314 markets)10/10
81/126 profitable days (64%)8.6/10
Max DD 138% of peak ($494 / $357)0/10
Badges
4Sniper
Win rate 73%
Consistent
81/126 profitable days
Win Streak
14 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
7🏛️ POLITICS#1,560,041$-191Vol: $24,619
💰 FINANCE#627,905$-82Vol: $12,195
💻 TECH#224,136$-9Vol: $5,627
🎭 CULTURE#14,769$180Vol: $3,839
📈 ECONOMICS#13,373$88Vol: $3,405
₿ CRYPTO#1,191,539$-13Vol: $358
📢 MENTIONS#17,222$14Vol: $192
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-13
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$50,236
Total Redeem
$866
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
337
total markets
Trades
481B / 353S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~170d
Periods
#2Today
$-2
Vol: $0
Week
$-2
Vol: $0
Month
$-22
Vol: $221
All Time
$-13
Vol: $50,236
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
73%
228W / 86L events
Realized PnL
$-14
Win Rate
73%
228W / 86L
Profit Factor
0.98x
Avg Win
$9
Avg Loss
$-27
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $395 (29.086219602063373% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will 'Hollow Knight: Silksong' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards?$175
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$127
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?$93
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?$69
Will Apple be the second most valuable company on October 31?$64
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?$60
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31?$56
Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?$50
DeepSeek V4 released before July?$43
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by August 31?$41
Top Losers
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?$-240
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?$-200
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?$-200
Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?$-150
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$-146
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?$-100
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?$-100
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$-80
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$-74
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-60
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.006
Sortino
-0.005
HHI
104
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.002
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2.8%
Top-5 markets
13.7%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
2.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.8
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
18:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.6h
between trades
Night Trading
19%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.60
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.6
Bot Detection
#620
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 84s — normal for humanCV 1.60 — diverse sizes (human-like)19% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock2 trades/day — normal0.8 markets/day — normal18% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 18:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
2.27
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)6.9%
Mid (20-55c)11.4%
High (>55c)81.7%
Sessions
#125/28/2026, 5:04:34 PM11 trades$1,7963 min
11/6/2025, 11:30:59 PM3 trades$1,1305 min
5/12/2026, 5:11:12 AM22 trades$93811 min
8/17/2025, 7:54:08 AM3 trades$9205 min
8/8/2025, 8:40:31 PM1 trades$8470 min
7/22/2026, 10:15:55 PM14 trades$8175 min
4/11/2026, 7:01:05 PM8 trades$7392 min
8/18/2025, 6:58:02 PM4 trades$7201 min
2/15/2026, 1:01:03 PM3 trades$6003 min
4/17/2026, 8:30:44 PM4 trades$5190 min
10/31/2025, 2:52:43 PM1 trades$5180 min
8/31/2025, 9:11:58 PM1 trades$5050 min
12/24/2025, 8:20:13 AM4 trades$5023 min
8/14/2025, 6:17:39 PM1 trades$5000 min
1/8/2026, 12:09:07 PM1 trades$5000 min
5/23/2026, 12:29:24 AM8 trades$4991 min
1/8/2026, 12:19:21 PM1 trades$4950 min
4/23/2026, 6:05:52 PM6 trades$4940 min
4/25/2026, 6:02:12 PM8 trades$4883 min
2/27/2026, 9:41:15 PM4 trades$4863 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-12
08-18
10-25
11-26
02-20
05-12
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 120 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
42.3% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.27/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L6.9 / M11.4 / H81.7