@victorneder

#2,782,21515

0x302d5e5e4f84b3885e6c2b947e390d7508a10046

~31d· 27 markets · 142 tradesVol: $18,5982026-08-04 17:21:48
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

15
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

40% (8/20)5/20
0.48x (win $162 / loss $339)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.4430/15
Sortino -4.9200/10
$-0.1464 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1274 (20 markets)6.1/10
6/13 profitable days (46%)4/10
Max DD 238% of peak ($305 / $128)0/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
54% entries < $0.20

Categories

3
🏛️ POLITICS#1,490,960$-69Vol: $15,659
📈 ECONOMICS#665,708$-151Vol: $1,655
⚽ SPORTS#1,653,182$-83Vol: $1,284

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-303
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$18,598
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
27
total markets
Trades
113B / 29S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~31d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$-0
Vol: $2
Month
$-0
Vol: $2
All Time
$-303
Vol: $18,598

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
40%
8W / 12L events
Realized PnL
$-303
Win Rate
40%
8W / 12L
Profit Factor
0.48x
Avg Win
$20
Avg Loss
$-28

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $130 (0.42846758739179275% of PnL)

Top Winners

U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?$101
Spain to win the second half?$15
Will Venezuela give the US oil by January 31?$14
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?$11
US strike on Mexico by January 31?$7
US strike on Mexico by March 31?$7
Switzerland vs. Algeria: O/U 10.5 Total Corners$5
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 12.5 Total Corners$2

Top Losers

Will the Bank of Brazil lower the Selic rate after January 2026 meeting?$-164
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$-88
Spain vs. Austria: O/U 2.5$-18
Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5$-14
Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 10.5 Total Corners$-10
GV CD San José vs. CD Real Tomayapo: O/U 2.5$-9
Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 7.5 Total Corners$-8
Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 9.5 Total Corners$-8
Club Always Ready vs. FC Universitario: O/U 2.5$-6
Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 1.5$-6

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.223
Sortino
-0.226
HHI
372
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.278
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
13.6%
Top-5 markets
38.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
19/24
Extended
Peak Hour
12:00 UTC
Median Gap
5.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.8h
between trades
Night Trading
12%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.55
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.1

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 310s — normal for humanCV 1.55 — diverse sizes (human-like)12% night trades — normal pattern19/24 hours — extended activity1 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal65% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 12:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.25
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)54%
Mid (20-55c)27.4%
High (>55c)18.6%

Sessions

#12
1/22/2026, 2:19:46 PM5 trades$2090 min
12/20/2025, 9:16:29 PM1 trades$1500 min
1/7/2026, 9:30:57 PM2 trades$1050 min
1/14/2026, 5:08:14 PM1 trades$1000 min
1/9/2026, 12:05:22 PM2 trades$972 min
1/19/2026, 11:49:12 AM2 trades$960 min
1/13/2026, 4:50:31 PM2 trades$891 min
1/15/2026, 4:45:42 PM2 trades$831 min
1/13/2026, 5:04:51 PM1 trades$800 min
1/27/2026, 12:39:21 PM10 trades$758 min
12/12/2025, 11:31:40 AM2 trades$741 min
1/12/2026, 1:27:40 PM1 trades$670 min
1/7/2026, 2:25:59 PM2 trades$662 min
1/26/2026, 11:20:29 AM2 trades$604 min
1/3/2026, 9:29:27 PM1 trades$560 min
12/5/2025, 9:33:29 PM8 trades$5513 min
12/22/2025, 2:37:53 PM1 trades$470 min
1/19/2026, 4:36:12 PM1 trades$400 min
1/7/2026, 1:18:27 PM2 trades$392 min
12/16/2025, 11:34:53 PM2 trades$380 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-20
01-12
01-22
06-30
07-02
07-05
07-17

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 183 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
20.4% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.25/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L54 / M27.4 / H18.6