@vsegrege

#2,192,70833

0x823dd3d75777ef6d3cb4457bd5fb4e5920d5efac

~17d· 21 markets · 76 tradesVol: $13,5622026-08-05 03:02:49
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

33
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

94% (17/18)20/20
0.30x (win $10 / loss $32)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.4740/15
Sortino -3.4540/10
$-0.0036 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1814 (18 markets)3.4/10
14/15 profitable days (93%)10/10
Max DD 366% of peak ($32 / $9)0/10

Badges

3
Sniper
Win rate 94%
Consistent
14/15 profitable days
Win Streak
17 wins in a row

Categories

3
CRYPTO#247,685$9Vol: $11,988
🏛️ POLITICS#1,329,073$-14Vol: $1,167
🌤️ WEATHER#103,995$0Vol: $88

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-29
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$13,562
Total Redeem
$30
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
21
total markets
Trades
39B / 37S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~17d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$-14
Vol: $1,072
Month
$-14
Vol: $1,072
All Time
$-29
Vol: $13,562

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
94%
17W / 1L events
Realized PnL
$-29
Win Rate
94%
17W / 1L
Profit Factor
0.3x
Avg Win
$1
Avg Loss
$-32

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $4 (0.13303072625698323% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on December 5?$1
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on December 5?$1
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2025?$1
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $100,000 on December 6?$1
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on December 6?$1
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,500 on December 4?$1
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on January 16?$1
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?$1
Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30?$0
Will the price of XRP be less than $1.60 on November 30?$0

Top Losers

Will LGD Gaming win BLAST Slam VII?$-32

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.176
Sortino
-1514.667
HHI
1717
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.004
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
21.2%
Top-5 markets
92.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
16/24
Extended
Peak Hour
2:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.7h
between trades
Night Trading
47%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.15
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
32
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.4

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 209s — normal for humanCV 2.15 — diverse sizes (human-like)47% night trades — never sleeps16/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal39% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 2:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.06
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)15.4%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)84.6%

Sessions

#12
12/5/2025, 7:53:13 PM4 trades$1,1812 min
12/5/2025, 12:38:17 PM2 trades$1,1800 min
12/5/2025, 4:06:29 PM1 trades$1,1800 min
12/5/2025, 2:16:45 AM1 trades$1,1790 min
12/4/2025, 4:16:43 PM1 trades$1,1780 min
12/4/2025, 2:51:01 AM9 trades$1,1752 min
12/4/2025, 1:50:47 PM1 trades$1,1680 min
12/4/2025, 2:57:39 PM1 trades$1,1670 min
12/4/2025, 1:37:41 PM1 trades$1,1660 min
12/4/2025, 9:44:15 AM2 trades$1,0000 min
6/7/2026, 4:56:24 PM8 trades$2421 min
12/4/2025, 6:49:21 AM1 trades$1660 min
8/3/2026, 2:29:30 AM11 trades$664 min
4/25/2026, 2:44:30 PM2 trades$590 min
8/3/2026, 5:25:54 AM4 trades$430 min
7/27/2026, 7:53:40 AM3 trades$360 min
6/14/2026, 12:00:13 PM2 trades$360 min
8/3/2026, 5:11:33 AM1 trades$320 min
5/8/2026, 3:05:21 AM2 trades$300 min
3/15/2026, 12:01:01 PM1 trades$290 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-27
12-05
01-15
01-26
02-25
04-25
06-07
07-27

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 30 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
16.7% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
48.7% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.06/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L15.4 / M0 / H84.6