@wacgj

#439,20990

0xcaf5bb85aa4d894d0f01efed5f57b04ccbfbd95f

~39d· 42 markets · 87 tradesVol: $5,3182026-08-04 22:39:10
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

90
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

90% (38/42)20/20
89.78x (win $19 / loss $0)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 8.66915/15
Sortino 618.26810/10
$+0.0048 per $1 invested0.2/10
HHI 446 (42 markets)10/10
27/29 profitable days (93%)10/10
Max DD 1% of peak ($0 / $19)10/10

Badges

5
Sniper
Win rate 90%
Profitable
PnL $+16
Consistent
27/29 profitable days
Cool Head
Max DD 1%
Win Streak
12 wins in a row

Categories

5
💰 FINANCE#79,977$4Vol: $1,665
🏛️ POLITICS#216,873$5Vol: $1,302
🎭 CULTURE#99,186$4Vol: $1,181
CRYPTO#411,000$1Vol: $1,045
SPORTS#393,868$2Vol: $125

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$16
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$5,318
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
42
total markets
Trades
59B / 28S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~39d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$1
Vol: $0
Month
$1
Vol: $0
All Time
$16
Vol: $5,318

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
90%
38W / 4L events
Realized PnL
$16
Win Rate
90%
38W / 4L
Profit Factor
88.14x
Avg Win
$1
Avg Loss
$-0

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $12 (0.7108801955990219% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$8
Will Elon Musk post 620-639 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?$2
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 3?$2
Xi Jinping out by June 30?$1
Will Netflix reach $455 in March?$1
Will Palantir (PLTR) finish week of March 2 above $130?$1
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in May?$0
Will Elon Musk post 740+ tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?$0
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?$0
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?$0

Top Losers

Will SOL flip ETH in 2025?$-0
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$-0

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.446
Sortino
661.034
HHI
413
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.004
Kelly %
89.6%
Half-Kelly
44.8%
Top-1 market
9%
Top-5 markets
32.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
15/24
Extended
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.9h
between trades
Night Trading
23%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.67
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
47
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.9

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 172s — normal for humanCV 0.67 — diverse sizes (human-like)23% night trades — unusual hours15/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal38% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 13:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.24
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)100%

Sessions

#12
5/18/2026, 11:51:36 AM6 trades$4791 min
4/18/2026, 11:14:46 AM2 trades$2410 min
12/31/2025, 1:12:37 AM2 trades$2231 min
6/25/2026, 12:58:53 PM2 trades$1600 min
7/5/2026, 12:50:50 PM2 trades$1250 min
12/11/2025, 11:03:19 AM2 trades$1233 min
6/11/2026, 7:09:34 AM2 trades$1212 min
5/27/2026, 7:57:20 AM2 trades$1210 min
6/5/2026, 1:35:40 PM14 trades$1211 min
5/6/2026, 2:49:11 PM1 trades$1210 min
4/5/2026, 7:25:49 AM3 trades$1202 min
3/25/2026, 3:27:15 AM1 trades$1200 min
3/26/2026, 4:24:31 AM1 trades$1190 min
3/17/2026, 6:14:25 AM1 trades$1190 min
3/25/2026, 6:01:11 AM1 trades$1190 min
3/11/2026, 4:47:39 AM1 trades$1180 min
6/24/2026, 4:42:11 PM5 trades$11812 min
2/14/2026, 8:41:31 AM2 trades$1181 min
2/9/2026, 2:23:39 AM1 trades$1170 min
2/4/2026, 10:50:20 AM2 trades$1171 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-03
11-29
12-31
01-21
02-13
03-25
05-27
07-05

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 51 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
32.2% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.24/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0 / M0 / H100